Forecast consensus from major meteorological models supports the market's near-certain positioning on a 31°C high for Zhengzhou on August 15. Official guidance points to partly cloudy to sunny conditions with light northeasterly winds and minimal precipitation, enabling surface heating consistent with late-summer climatology where daily maxima typically range 29–32°C. This alignment of atmospheric patterns—stable high pressure and moderate humidity—underpins trader confidence, as verified observations and ensemble runs show little deviation from 30–31°C peaks. A realistic challenge would require unexpected cloud buildup, earlier or heavier showers, or stronger winds that reduce insolation and cap the maximum below the threshold before official verification.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月15日鄭州氣溫最高？
8月15日鄭州氣溫最高？
31°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$6,433 交易量
$6,433 交易量
2026-08-15
22°C or below
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
Yes
32°C or higher
No
31°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$6,433 交易量
$6,433 交易量
2026-08-15
22°C or below
$105 交易量
No
23°C
$105 交易量
No
24°C
$105 交易量
No
25°C
$105 交易量
No
26°C
$105 交易量
No
27°C
$119 交易量
No
28°C
$440 交易量
No
29°C
$245 交易量
No
30°C
$1,268 交易量
No
31°C
$1,975 交易量
Yes
32°C or higher
$1,861 交易量
No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from major meteorological models supports the market's near-certain positioning on a 31°C high for Zhengzhou on August 15. Official guidance points to partly cloudy to sunny conditions with light northeasterly winds and minimal precipitation, enabling surface heating consistent with late-summer climatology where daily maxima typically range 29–32°C. This alignment of atmospheric patterns—stable high pressure and moderate humidity—underpins trader confidence, as verified observations and ensemble runs show little deviation from 30–31°C peaks. A realistic challenge would require unexpected cloud buildup, earlier or heavier showers, or stronger winds that reduce insolation and cap the maximum below the threshold before official verification.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 14, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
交易量
$6,433結束日期
2026-08-15市場開放時間
Aug 14, 2026, 12:55 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from major meteorological models supports the market's near-certain positioning on a 31°C high for Zhengzhou on August 15. Official guidance points to partly cloudy to sunny conditions with light northeasterly winds and minimal precipitation, enabling surface heating consistent with late-summer climatology where daily maxima typically range 29–32°C. This alignment of atmospheric patterns—stable high pressure and moderate humidity—underpins trader confidence, as verified observations and ensemble runs show little deviation from 30–31°C peaks. A realistic challenge would require unexpected cloud buildup, earlier or heavier showers, or stronger winds that reduce insolation and cap the maximum below the threshold before official verification.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$6,433結束日期
2026-08-15市場開放時間
Aug 14, 2026, 12:55 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Forecast consensus from major meteorological models supports the market's near-certain positioning on a 31°C high for Zhengzhou on August 15. Official guidance points to partly cloudy to sunny conditions with light northeasterly winds and minimal precipitation, enabling surface heating consistent with late-summer climatology where daily maxima typically range 29–32°C. This alignment of atmospheric patterns—stable high pressure and moderate humidity—underpins trader confidence, as verified observations and ensemble runs show little deviation from 30–31°C peaks. A realistic challenge would require unexpected cloud buildup, earlier or heavier showers, or stronger winds that reduce insolation and cap the maximum below the threshold before official verification.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions