Forecast consensus from meteorological models points to an overnight minimum near 17°C in Ankara on August 26, shaped by clear skies, light northeasterly winds, and radiative cooling at the city's roughly 900 m elevation. These conditions favor efficient heat loss after daytime highs near 32–34°C, while residual urban heat retention and typical late-August climatology (average lows 15–17°C) introduce modest uncertainty between 15°C and 18°C outcomes. Model runs show limited spread due to stable high pressure, with any increase in cloud cover or wind the key variables that could raise the low. Traders' near-even probabilities across 13–18°C buckets reflect this narrow forecast envelope and the resolution sensitivity to the precise recorded minimum at official stations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月26日安卡拉的最低溫度？
8月26日安卡拉的最低溫度？
15°C 44%
13°C或以下 35%
14°C 34%
18°C 33%
最新
最新
2026-08-26
13°C或以下
35%
14°C
34%
15°C
44%
16°C
27%
17°C
30%
18°C
33%
19°C
27%
20°C
9%
21°C
11%
22°C
1%
23°C或以上
<1%
15°C 44%
13°C或以下 35%
14°C 34%
18°C 33%
最新
最新
2026-08-26
13°C或以下
$16 交易量
35%
14°C
$0 交易量
34%
15°C
$0 交易量
44%
16°C
$0 交易量
27%
17°C
$0 交易量
30%
18°C
$0 交易量
33%
19°C
$50 交易量
27%
20°C
$85 交易量
9%
21°C
$20 交易量
11%
22°C
$150 交易量
1%
23°C或以上
$90 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from meteorological models points to an overnight minimum near 17°C in Ankara on August 26, shaped by clear skies, light northeasterly winds, and radiative cooling at the city's roughly 900 m elevation. These conditions favor efficient heat loss after daytime highs near 32–34°C, while residual urban heat retention and typical late-August climatology (average lows 15–17°C) introduce modest uncertainty between 15°C and 18°C outcomes. Model runs show limited spread due to stable high pressure, with any increase in cloud cover or wind the key variables that could raise the low. Traders' near-even probabilities across 13–18°C buckets reflect this narrow forecast envelope and the resolution sensitivity to the precise recorded minimum at official stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 24, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
交易量
$411結束日期
2026-08-26市場開放時間
Aug 24, 2026, 12:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from meteorological models points to an overnight minimum near 17°C in Ankara on August 26, shaped by clear skies, light northeasterly winds, and radiative cooling at the city's roughly 900 m elevation. These conditions favor efficient heat loss after daytime highs near 32–34°C, while residual urban heat retention and typical late-August climatology (average lows 15–17°C) introduce modest uncertainty between 15°C and 18°C outcomes. Model runs show limited spread due to stable high pressure, with any increase in cloud cover or wind the key variables that could raise the low. Traders' near-even probabilities across 13–18°C buckets reflect this narrow forecast envelope and the resolution sensitivity to the precise recorded minimum at official stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$411結束日期
2026-08-26市場開放時間
Aug 24, 2026, 12:29 AM ETForecast consensus from meteorological models points to an overnight minimum near 17°C in Ankara on August 26, shaped by clear skies, light northeasterly winds, and radiative cooling at the city's roughly 900 m elevation. These conditions favor efficient heat loss after daytime highs near 32–34°C, while residual urban heat retention and typical late-August climatology (average lows 15–17°C) introduce modest uncertainty between 15°C and 18°C outcomes. Model runs show limited spread due to stable high pressure, with any increase in cloud cover or wind the key variables that could raise the low. Traders' near-even probabilities across 13–18°C buckets reflect this narrow forecast envelope and the resolution sensitivity to the precise recorded minimum at official stations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions