**Forecast models from multiple sources, including PredictWind, Met Office, and Turkish meteorological outlets, converge on a daytime high of 32–34°C for Ankara on August 26, 2026, with 33°C as the most probable peak.** Clear skies, light northeasterly winds, and stable high pressure are maintaining typical late-August conditions on the Anatolian plateau, where daytime heating under strong solar insolation drives rapid temperature rises from overnight lows near 18°C. Low humidity (often 20–40% during peak hours) and minimal cloud cover further support efficient radiative heating without significant evaporative cooling or convective inhibition. Recent observations from August 25 show highs near 31–32°C, consistent with the ongoing pattern, and ensemble guidance indicates little change through the next 24–48 hours. Historical climatology for late August places average maxima around 32°C, providing additional context for why traders assign the highest implied probability (60%) to 33°C and the next-highest (33.5%) to 32°C. Minor model spread accounts for the small probabilities on 34°C and 31°C, while the risk of extremes remains negligible given the absence of synoptic forcing or moisture influx. Updated model runs and official briefings expected overnight will likely refine these estimates ahead of market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月26日安卡拉的最高溫度？
8月26日安卡拉的最高溫度？
33°C 60%
32°C 34%
34°C 6%
31°C 4%
最新
最新
2026-08-26
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
4%
32°C
34%
33°C
60%
34°C
6%
35°C
2%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
33°C 60%
32°C 34%
34°C 6%
31°C 4%
最新
最新
2026-08-26
28°C or below
$479 交易量
<1%
29°C
$315 交易量
<1%
30°C
$393 交易量
<1%
31°C
$632 交易量
4%
32°C
$1,535 交易量
34%
33°C
$1,659 交易量
60%
34°C
$1,085 交易量
6%
35°C
$263 交易量
2%
36°C
$289 交易量
<1%
37°C
$230 交易量
<1%
38°C or higher
$215 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from multiple sources, including PredictWind, Met Office, and Turkish meteorological outlets, converge on a daytime high of 32–34°C for Ankara on August 26, 2026, with 33°C as the most probable peak.**
Clear skies, light northeasterly winds, and stable high pressure are maintaining typical late-August conditions on the Anatolian plateau, where daytime heating under strong solar insolation drives rapid temperature rises from overnight lows near 18°C. Low humidity (often 20–40% during peak hours) and minimal cloud cover further support efficient radiative heating without significant evaporative cooling or convective inhibition.
Recent observations from August 25 show highs near 31–32°C, consistent with the ongoing pattern, and ensemble guidance indicates little change through the next 24–48 hours. Historical climatology for late August places average maxima around 32°C, providing additional context for why traders assign the highest implied probability (60%) to 33°C and the next-highest (33.5%) to 32°C. Minor model spread accounts for the small probabilities on 34°C and 31°C, while the risk of extremes remains negligible given the absence of synoptic forcing or moisture influx. Updated model runs and official briefings expected overnight will likely refine these estimates ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$7,096結束日期
2026-08-26市場開放時間
Aug 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from multiple sources, including PredictWind, Met Office, and Turkish meteorological outlets, converge on a daytime high of 32–34°C for Ankara on August 26, 2026, with 33°C as the most probable peak.**
Clear skies, light northeasterly winds, and stable high pressure are maintaining typical late-August conditions on the Anatolian plateau, where daytime heating under strong solar insolation drives rapid temperature rises from overnight lows near 18°C. Low humidity (often 20–40% during peak hours) and minimal cloud cover further support efficient radiative heating without significant evaporative cooling or convective inhibition.
Recent observations from August 25 show highs near 31–32°C, consistent with the ongoing pattern, and ensemble guidance indicates little change through the next 24–48 hours. Historical climatology for late August places average maxima around 32°C, providing additional context for why traders assign the highest implied probability (60%) to 33°C and the next-highest (33.5%) to 32°C. Minor model spread accounts for the small probabilities on 34°C and 31°C, while the risk of extremes remains negligible given the absence of synoptic forcing or moisture influx. Updated model runs and official briefings expected overnight will likely refine these estimates ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$7,096結束日期
2026-08-26市場開放時間
Aug 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ET**Forecast models from multiple sources, including PredictWind, Met Office, and Turkish meteorological outlets, converge on a daytime high of 32–34°C for Ankara on August 26, 2026, with 33°C as the most probable peak.** Clear skies, light northeasterly winds, and stable high pressure are maintaining typical late-August conditions on the Anatolian plateau, where daytime heating under strong solar insolation drives rapid temperature rises from overnight lows near 18°C. Low humidity (often 20–40% during peak hours) and minimal cloud cover further support efficient radiative heating without significant evaporative cooling or convective inhibition. Recent observations from August 25 show highs near 31–32°C, consistent with the ongoing pattern, and ensemble guidance indicates little change through the next 24–48 hours. Historical climatology for late August places average maxima around 32°C, providing additional context for why traders assign the highest implied probability (60%) to 33°C and the next-highest (33.5%) to 32°C. Minor model spread accounts for the small probabilities on 34°C and 31°C, while the risk of extremes remains negligible given the absence of synoptic forcing or moisture influx. Updated model runs and official briefings expected overnight will likely refine these estimates ahead of market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions