Current forecasts from models like GFS indicate Cape Town's overnight minimum on September 11, 2026, will likely settle near 15°C amid persistent cloud cover, moderate southerly winds, and the cooling influence of the Benguela Current. This aligns with early September climatology, where radiational cooling under clear skies can dip lower, but marine air and high humidity often stabilize readings around the seasonal average of 14–15°C. Trader sentiment remains split between the 15°C and sub-10°C outcomes because small shifts in cloud thickness or wind direction could alter the precise low by several degrees, with new model runs and official South African Weather Service updates providing the next resolution signals.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月11日是開普敦的最低溫度？
9月11日是開普敦的最低溫度？
15°C 99.5%
14°C 7%
10°C或以下 1.0%
13°C 1.0%
$813 交易量
$813 交易量
2026-09-11
10°C或以下
否
11°C
否
12°C
否
13°C
否
14°C
否
15°C
是
16°C
否
17°C
否
18°C
否
19°C
否
20°C或更高
否
15°C 99.5%
14°C 7%
10°C或以下 1.0%
13°C 1.0%
$813 交易量
$813 交易量
2026-09-11
10°C或以下
$5 交易量
否
11°C
$50 交易量
否
12°C
$119 交易量
否
13°C
$89 交易量
否
14°C
$81 交易量
否
15°C
$93 交易量
是
16°C
$316 交易量
否
17°C
$15 交易量
否
18°C
$15 交易量
否
19°C
$15 交易量
否
20°C或更高
$15 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from models like GFS indicate Cape Town's overnight minimum on September 11, 2026, will likely settle near 15°C amid persistent cloud cover, moderate southerly winds, and the cooling influence of the Benguela Current. This aligns with early September climatology, where radiational cooling under clear skies can dip lower, but marine air and high humidity often stabilize readings around the seasonal average of 14–15°C. Trader sentiment remains split between the 15°C and sub-10°C outcomes because small shifts in cloud thickness or wind direction could alter the precise low by several degrees, with new model runs and official South African Weather Service updates providing the next resolution signals.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 9, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
交易量
$813結束日期
2026-09-11市場開放時間
Sep 9, 2026, 12:31 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from models like GFS indicate Cape Town's overnight minimum on September 11, 2026, will likely settle near 15°C amid persistent cloud cover, moderate southerly winds, and the cooling influence of the Benguela Current. This aligns with early September climatology, where radiational cooling under clear skies can dip lower, but marine air and high humidity often stabilize readings around the seasonal average of 14–15°C. Trader sentiment remains split between the 15°C and sub-10°C outcomes because small shifts in cloud thickness or wind direction could alter the precise low by several degrees, with new model runs and official South African Weather Service updates providing the next resolution signals.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$813結束日期
2026-09-11市場開放時間
Sep 9, 2026, 12:31 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Current forecasts from models like GFS indicate Cape Town's overnight minimum on September 11, 2026, will likely settle near 15°C amid persistent cloud cover, moderate southerly winds, and the cooling influence of the Benguela Current. This aligns with early September climatology, where radiational cooling under clear skies can dip lower, but marine air and high humidity often stabilize readings around the seasonal average of 14–15°C. Trader sentiment remains split between the 15°C and sub-10°C outcomes because small shifts in cloud thickness or wind direction could alter the precise low by several degrees, with new model runs and official South African Weather Service updates providing the next resolution signals.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions