**Current atmospheric conditions and short-range forecast models from sources such as the Finnish Meteorological Institute support a daily minimum of 3°C in Helsinki on September 12, 2026, driving the market-implied odds to 99.9% for that outcome.** Recent observations show overnight cooling under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with light southwesterly winds, consistent with climatological expectations for early September but on the cooler side of the 1991–2020 average low near 9.8°C. Historical analogs, including occasional dips to 1.6–3.0°C in past decades, provide context for the positioning. Trader consensus reflects real-time data aggregation, with high confidence stemming from model agreement on the overnight low. Scenarios that could realistically alter resolution include unforecasted radiative cooling under clearer skies, shifts in wind direction increasing mixing, or official station measurement revisions before the meteorological day closes.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月12日赫爾辛基最低溫度?
3°C 100.0%
2°C或以下 <1%
4°C <1%
5°C <1%
$1,283 交易量
$1,283 交易量
2°C或以下
否
3°C
是
4°C
否
5°C
否
6°C
否
7°C
否
8°C
否
9°C
否
10°C
否
11°C
否
12°C或以上
否
3°C 100.0%
2°C或以下 <1%
4°C <1%
5°C <1%
$1,283 交易量
$1,283 交易量
2°C或以下
否
3°C
是
4°C
否
5°C
否
6°C
否
7°C
否
8°C
否
9°C
否
10°C
否
11°C
否
12°C或以上
否
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Sep 10, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
**Current atmospheric conditions and short-range forecast models from sources such as the Finnish Meteorological Institute support a daily minimum of 3°C in Helsinki on September 12, 2026, driving the market-implied odds to 99.9% for that outcome.** Recent observations show overnight cooling under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with light southwesterly winds, consistent with climatological expectations for early September but on the cooler side of the 1991–2020 average low near 9.8°C. Historical analogs, including occasional dips to 1.6–3.0°C in past decades, provide context for the positioning. Trader consensus reflects real-time data aggregation, with high confidence stemming from model agreement on the overnight low. Scenarios that could realistically alter resolution include unforecasted radiative cooling under clearer skies, shifts in wind direction increasing mixing, or official station measurement revisions before the meteorological day closes.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions