Trader consensus heavily favors 28°C as Hong Kong's lowest temperature on August 17, 2026, driven by official Hong Kong Observatory and model forecasts projecting overnight lows near that threshold amid high humidity, scattered showers, and limited radiative cooling. This aligns with August climatology showing typical minimums of 26–28°C, reinforced by seasonal outlooks for normal to above-normal temperatures under prevailing ENSO-neutral conditions. Urban heat-island effects and cloud cover further suppress drops below 27°C. Clearer skies or stronger monsoon flow overnight could realistically allow a dip to 26–27°C, while the market's low odds on cooler outcomes reflect limited historical precedent for such deviations in mid-August.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月17日香港最低溫度?
28°C 99%
27°C <1%
26°C <1%
23°C或以下 <1%
$52,352 交易量
$52,352 交易量
23°C或以下
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
99%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C或以上
<1%
28°C 99%
27°C <1%
26°C <1%
23°C或以下 <1%
$52,352 交易量
$52,352 交易量
23°C或以下
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
99%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C或以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Aug 15, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus heavily favors 28°C as Hong Kong's lowest temperature on August 17, 2026, driven by official Hong Kong Observatory and model forecasts projecting overnight lows near that threshold amid high humidity, scattered showers, and limited radiative cooling. This aligns with August climatology showing typical minimums of 26–28°C, reinforced by seasonal outlooks for normal to above-normal temperatures under prevailing ENSO-neutral conditions. Urban heat-island effects and cloud cover further suppress drops below 27°C. Clearer skies or stronger monsoon flow overnight could realistically allow a dip to 26–27°C, while the market's low odds on cooler outcomes reflect limited historical precedent for such deviations in mid-August.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions