**Persistent subtropical high pressure and elevated humidity have kept overnight radiative cooling minimal in Jinan, driving the market’s near-certain consensus (99.5% implied probability) on a minimum of 22 °C or higher for August 26.** Multiple official and ensemble forecasts, including those aligned with National Meteorological Center guidance, project a nighttime low near 25–26 °C under mostly cloudy skies and light winds, consistent with the ongoing heatwave where daytime maxima have reached 34–35 °C. High dew points near 24 °C further suppress temperature drops. The outcome would be challenged only by an unanticipated rapid clearing of clouds or an unforecasted cold-air intrusion, both considered low-probability events this late in the season given model consensus and current steering patterns.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月26日濟南最低氣溫?
22°C或以上 100.0%
12°C或以下 <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$5,043 交易量
$5,043 交易量
12°C或以下
否
13°C
否
14°C
否
15°C
否
16°C
否
17°C
否
18°C
否
19°C
否
20°C
否
21°C
否
22°C或以上
是
22°C或以上 100.0%
12°C或以下 <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$5,043 交易量
$5,043 交易量
12°C或以下
否
13°C
否
14°C
否
15°C
否
16°C
否
17°C
否
18°C
否
19°C
否
20°C
否
21°C
否
22°C或以上
是
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 25, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
**Persistent subtropical high pressure and elevated humidity have kept overnight radiative cooling minimal in Jinan, driving the market’s near-certain consensus (99.5% implied probability) on a minimum of 22 °C or higher for August 26.** Multiple official and ensemble forecasts, including those aligned with National Meteorological Center guidance, project a nighttime low near 25–26 °C under mostly cloudy skies and light winds, consistent with the ongoing heatwave where daytime maxima have reached 34–35 °C. High dew points near 24 °C further suppress temperature drops. The outcome would be challenged only by an unanticipated rapid clearing of clouds or an unforecasted cold-air intrusion, both considered low-probability events this late in the season given model consensus and current steering patterns.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions