Recent forecast consensus from agencies like the Pakistan Meteorological Department and AccuWeather points to overnight lows near Karachi’s August climatological average of 26–27°C, driven by high humidity from Arabian Sea moisture, limited radiative cooling under typical monsoon cloud cover, and the city’s pronounced urban heat island effect. Recent model runs show no significant cooling advection or clear-sky conditions that would push minima below 25°C, while historical data confirm overnight temperatures rarely dip under 26°C in late August. Traders appear to weigh these stable atmospheric patterns against minor forecast variability, resulting in the tight clustering of implied probabilities around the 26–27°C outcomes.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月25日卡拉奇的最低溫度?
27°C 40%
26°C 28%
29°C 25%
25°C 23%
22°C或以下
2%
23°C
1%
24°C
20%
25°C
23%
26°C
28%
27°C
40%
28°C
23%
29°C
25%
30°C
14%
31°C
<1%
32°C或更高
1%
27°C 40%
26°C 28%
29°C 25%
25°C 23%
22°C或以下
2%
23°C
1%
24°C
20%
25°C
23%
26°C
28%
27°C
40%
28°C
23%
29°C
25%
30°C
14%
31°C
<1%
32°C或更高
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 23, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecast consensus from agencies like the Pakistan Meteorological Department and AccuWeather points to overnight lows near Karachi’s August climatological average of 26–27°C, driven by high humidity from Arabian Sea moisture, limited radiative cooling under typical monsoon cloud cover, and the city’s pronounced urban heat island effect. Recent model runs show no significant cooling advection or clear-sky conditions that would push minima below 25°C, while historical data confirm overnight temperatures rarely dip under 26°C in late August. Traders appear to weigh these stable atmospheric patterns against minor forecast variability, resulting in the tight clustering of implied probabilities around the 26–27°C outcomes.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions