Official National Weather Service observations confirm Miami’s overnight low reached 74–75°F on May 16, driving the near-certain market-implied odds. This outcome reflects persistent warm, humid air advection from the Gulf Stream under light southerly flow, which limited nocturnal radiative cooling despite clear skies. Late-spring climatology for the region typically produces minimums between 72–77°F, and the absence of any frontal passage or unusual subsidence kept temperatures within the narrow historical envelope. Final certified readings from Miami International Airport are expected to lock in resolution without meaningful adjustment.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於5月16日邁阿密的最低溫度?
74-75°F 100.0%
華氏73度或以下 <1%
76-77°F <1%
78-79°F <1%
$22,692 交易量
$22,692 交易量
華氏73度或以下
否
74-75°F
是
76-77°F
否
78-79°F
否
80-81°F
否
82-83°F
否
84-85°F
否
86-87°F
否
88-89°F
否
90-91°F
否
92°F或更高
否
74-75°F 100.0%
華氏73度或以下 <1%
76-77°F <1%
78-79°F <1%
$22,692 交易量
$22,692 交易量
華氏73度或以下
否
74-75°F
是
76-77°F
否
78-79°F
否
80-81°F
否
82-83°F
否
84-85°F
否
86-87°F
否
88-89°F
否
90-91°F
否
92°F或更高
否
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: May 13, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Official National Weather Service observations confirm Miami’s overnight low reached 74–75°F on May 16, driving the near-certain market-implied odds. This outcome reflects persistent warm, humid air advection from the Gulf Stream under light southerly flow, which limited nocturnal radiative cooling despite clear skies. Late-spring climatology for the region typically produces minimums between 72–77°F, and the absence of any frontal passage or unusual subsidence kept temperatures within the narrow historical envelope. Final certified readings from Miami International Airport are expected to lock in resolution without meaningful adjustment.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions