**Current forecasts from multiple models indicate a mild overnight minimum around 16–18°C for Munich on August 27, driven by persistent easterly flow under high pressure and partly cloudy skies that limit strong radiational cooling.** Trader consensus clusters near 13–15°C because ensemble spreads and local urban heat island effects introduce uncertainty in the exact low, while the seasonal average low of 12.9°C provides context for why warmer outcomes still carry meaningful implied probability. Key variables include the strength of the easterly winds, cloud cover timing overnight, and any revisions in the next model runs from DWD or ECMWF before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月27日慕尼黑最低溫度?
14°C 28%
13°C 28%
15°C 26%
16°C 26%
10°C or below
1%
11°C
19%
12°C
24%
13°C
28%
14°C
28%
15°C
26%
16°C
26%
17°C
26%
18°C
8%
19°C
8%
20°C or higher
9%
14°C 28%
13°C 28%
15°C 26%
16°C 26%
10°C or below
1%
11°C
19%
12°C
24%
13°C
28%
14°C
28%
15°C
26%
16°C
26%
17°C
26%
18°C
8%
19°C
8%
20°C or higher
9%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 25, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
**Current forecasts from multiple models indicate a mild overnight minimum around 16–18°C for Munich on August 27, driven by persistent easterly flow under high pressure and partly cloudy skies that limit strong radiational cooling.** Trader consensus clusters near 13–15°C because ensemble spreads and local urban heat island effects introduce uncertainty in the exact low, while the seasonal average low of 12.9°C provides context for why warmer outcomes still carry meaningful implied probability. Key variables include the strength of the easterly winds, cloud cover timing overnight, and any revisions in the next model runs from DWD or ECMWF before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions