Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate overnight lows in Munich on August 26 centering on 14–16°C under partly cloudy skies with light variable winds, aligning with the historical August average low of 13°C and explaining the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 12–14°C. Radiative cooling overnight, modulated by moderate humidity and minimal cloud cover suppressing heat retention, drives the expected minimum, while any increase in low-level moisture or wind mixing could limit the drop. Ensemble variability in European models introduces uncertainty around exact boundary-layer conditions, keeping probabilities distributed rather than concentrated on a single outcome. The market will resolve based on the official lowest reading at the Munich Airport station.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月26日慕尼黑最低溫度？
8月26日慕尼黑最低溫度？
8°C or below 45%
12°C 31%
13°C 28%
11°C 24%
最新
最新
2026-08-26
8°C or below
45%
9°C
5%
10°C
12%
11°C
24%
12°C
31%
13°C
28%
14°C
22%
15°C
17%
16°C
7%
17°C
11%
18°C or higher
<1%
8°C or below 45%
12°C 31%
13°C 28%
11°C 24%
最新
最新
2026-08-26
8°C or below
$5 交易量
45%
9°C
$0 交易量
5%
10°C
$34 交易量
12%
11°C
$0 交易量
24%
12°C
$0 交易量
31%
13°C
$0 交易量
28%
14°C
$0 交易量
22%
15°C
$0 交易量
17%
16°C
$80 交易量
7%
17°C
$15 交易量
11%
18°C or higher
$443 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate overnight lows in Munich on August 26 centering on 14–16°C under partly cloudy skies with light variable winds, aligning with the historical August average low of 13°C and explaining the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 12–14°C. Radiative cooling overnight, modulated by moderate humidity and minimal cloud cover suppressing heat retention, drives the expected minimum, while any increase in low-level moisture or wind mixing could limit the drop. Ensemble variability in European models introduces uncertainty around exact boundary-layer conditions, keeping probabilities distributed rather than concentrated on a single outcome. The market will resolve based on the official lowest reading at the Munich Airport station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 24, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
交易量
$578結束日期
2026-08-26市場開放時間
Aug 24, 2026, 12:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate overnight lows in Munich on August 26 centering on 14–16°C under partly cloudy skies with light variable winds, aligning with the historical August average low of 13°C and explaining the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 12–14°C. Radiative cooling overnight, modulated by moderate humidity and minimal cloud cover suppressing heat retention, drives the expected minimum, while any increase in low-level moisture or wind mixing could limit the drop. Ensemble variability in European models introduces uncertainty around exact boundary-layer conditions, keeping probabilities distributed rather than concentrated on a single outcome. The market will resolve based on the official lowest reading at the Munich Airport station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$578結束日期
2026-08-26市場開放時間
Aug 24, 2026, 12:29 AM ETRecent forecasts from multiple models indicate overnight lows in Munich on August 26 centering on 14–16°C under partly cloudy skies with light variable winds, aligning with the historical August average low of 13°C and explaining the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 12–14°C. Radiative cooling overnight, modulated by moderate humidity and minimal cloud cover suppressing heat retention, drives the expected minimum, while any increase in low-level moisture or wind mixing could limit the drop. Ensemble variability in European models introduces uncertainty around exact boundary-layer conditions, keeping probabilities distributed rather than concentrated on a single outcome. The market will resolve based on the official lowest reading at the Munich Airport station.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions