Official Météo-France observations at Paris-Le Bourget Airport, the designated resolution station, recorded a minimum temperature of 9°C on May 13, 2026, anchoring trader consensus at 100% implied probability amid persistent overcast skies and cool northerly airflow that limited daytime heating to just 14°C and moderated overnight radiational cooling. This outcome aligns with AROME model hindcasts and hourly data showing sustained low-level stratus clouds preventing deeper cools typical under clear skies, while slightly undercutting mid-May climatological lows near 10°C. Realistic challenges are minimal but could include post hoc quality control revisions uncovering instrument anomalies or a overlooked earlier reading, though real-time logs provide strong evidentiary support for final resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Lowest temperature in Paris on May 13?
9°C 100.0%
3°C or below <1%
4°C <1%
5°C <1%
$22,193 交易量
$22,193 交易量
3°C or below
No
4°C
No
5°C
No
6°C
No
7°C
No
8°C
No
9°C
Yes
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C or higher
No
9°C 100.0%
3°C or below <1%
4°C <1%
5°C <1%
$22,193 交易量
$22,193 交易量
3°C or below
No
4°C
No
5°C
No
6°C
No
7°C
No
8°C
No
9°C
Yes
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: May 11, 2026, 12:14 AM ET
已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Official Météo-France observations at Paris-Le Bourget Airport, the designated resolution station, recorded a minimum temperature of 9°C on May 13, 2026, anchoring trader consensus at 100% implied probability amid persistent overcast skies and cool northerly airflow that limited daytime heating to just 14°C and moderated overnight radiational cooling. This outcome aligns with AROME model hindcasts and hourly data showing sustained low-level stratus clouds preventing deeper cools typical under clear skies, while slightly undercutting mid-May climatological lows near 10°C. Realistic challenges are minimal but could include post hoc quality control revisions uncovering instrument anomalies or a overlooked earlier reading, though real-time logs provide strong evidentiary support for final resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions