**Trader consensus has locked onto 24°C as the lowest temperature in Qingdao on August 21, 2026, at 99.5% implied probability.** Multiple forecast models and real-time observations from coastal Shandong align on an overnight minimum near this threshold, consistent with humid, stable maritime air under light easterly flow and widespread cloud cover suppressing radiative cooling. Current conditions show temperatures holding in the mid-20s°C through the night, with dew points near 24–26°C and only modest diurnal ranges. Historical August climatology places typical lows around 22°C, yet persistent warmth this season has elevated the floor. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected surge in onshore flow or heavy precipitation triggering localized cooling below 24°C before midnight local time; absent new model runs or station data indicating such a shift, the market-implied outcome remains firmly supported by the weight of observational evidence.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月21日青島最低氣溫？
8月21日青島最低氣溫？
24°C 100.0%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$3,308 交易量
$3,308 交易量
2026-08-21
19°C or below
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
Yes
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C or higher
No
24°C 100.0%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$3,308 交易量
$3,308 交易量
2026-08-21
19°C or below
$144 交易量
No
20°C
$133 交易量
No
21°C
$193 交易量
No
22°C
$235 交易量
No
23°C
$466 交易量
No
24°C
$1,184 交易量
Yes
25°C
$564 交易量
No
26°C
$95 交易量
No
27°C
$105 交易量
No
28°C
$95 交易量
No
29°C or higher
$95 交易量
No
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus has locked onto 24°C as the lowest temperature in Qingdao on August 21, 2026, at 99.5% implied probability.** Multiple forecast models and real-time observations from coastal Shandong align on an overnight minimum near this threshold, consistent with humid, stable maritime air under light easterly flow and widespread cloud cover suppressing radiative cooling. Current conditions show temperatures holding in the mid-20s°C through the night, with dew points near 24–26°C and only modest diurnal ranges. Historical August climatology places typical lows around 22°C, yet persistent warmth this season has elevated the floor. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected surge in onshore flow or heavy precipitation triggering localized cooling below 24°C before midnight local time; absent new model runs or station data indicating such a shift, the market-implied outcome remains firmly supported by the weight of observational evidence.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 20, 2026, 1:31 PM ET
交易量
$3,308結束日期
2026-08-21市場開放時間
Aug 20, 2026, 1:31 PM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus has locked onto 24°C as the lowest temperature in Qingdao on August 21, 2026, at 99.5% implied probability.** Multiple forecast models and real-time observations from coastal Shandong align on an overnight minimum near this threshold, consistent with humid, stable maritime air under light easterly flow and widespread cloud cover suppressing radiative cooling. Current conditions show temperatures holding in the mid-20s°C through the night, with dew points near 24–26°C and only modest diurnal ranges. Historical August climatology places typical lows around 22°C, yet persistent warmth this season has elevated the floor. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected surge in onshore flow or heavy precipitation triggering localized cooling below 24°C before midnight local time; absent new model runs or station data indicating such a shift, the market-implied outcome remains firmly supported by the weight of observational evidence.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$3,308結束日期
2026-08-21市場開放時間
Aug 20, 2026, 1:31 PM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
**Trader consensus has locked onto 24°C as the lowest temperature in Qingdao on August 21, 2026, at 99.5% implied probability.** Multiple forecast models and real-time observations from coastal Shandong align on an overnight minimum near this threshold, consistent with humid, stable maritime air under light easterly flow and widespread cloud cover suppressing radiative cooling. Current conditions show temperatures holding in the mid-20s°C through the night, with dew points near 24–26°C and only modest diurnal ranges. Historical August climatology places typical lows around 22°C, yet persistent warmth this season has elevated the floor. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected surge in onshore flow or heavy precipitation triggering localized cooling below 24°C before midnight local time; absent new model runs or station data indicating such a shift, the market-implied outcome remains firmly supported by the weight of observational evidence.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions