Current forecast models from sources like WeatherBug, GFS, and regional Chinese meteorological services indicate Qingdao's overnight low on August 26 will likely settle in the 25–27°C range, driven by persistent southerly flow, subtropical high pressure, and moderating maritime influence from the Yellow Sea. This positions 24–27°C outcomes with elevated market-implied odds, consistent with typical late-August climatology where coastal advection prevents sharp drops. No major cold fronts or model shifts have emerged in the past 48 hours to support cooler scenarios like 22°C or below, though forecast uncertainty from minor cloud cover or wind variations could still influence the final minimum observed by official stations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月26日青島最低氣溫?
22°C或以下 95%
32°C或以上 55%
23°C 48%
27°C 48%
22°C或以下
95%
23°C
48%
24°C
26%
25°C
26%
26°C
26%
27°C
48%
28°C
2%
29°C
27%
30°C
27%
31°C
29%
32°C或以上
55%
22°C或以下 95%
32°C或以上 55%
23°C 48%
27°C 48%
22°C或以下
95%
23°C
48%
24°C
26%
25°C
26%
26°C
26%
27°C
48%
28°C
2%
29°C
27%
30°C
27%
31°C
29%
32°C或以上
55%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 24, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current forecast models from sources like WeatherBug, GFS, and regional Chinese meteorological services indicate Qingdao's overnight low on August 26 will likely settle in the 25–27°C range, driven by persistent southerly flow, subtropical high pressure, and moderating maritime influence from the Yellow Sea. This positions 24–27°C outcomes with elevated market-implied odds, consistent with typical late-August climatology where coastal advection prevents sharp drops. No major cold fronts or model shifts have emerged in the past 48 hours to support cooler scenarios like 22°C or below, though forecast uncertainty from minor cloud cover or wind variations could still influence the final minimum observed by official stations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions