**Trader consensus at 100% on 22°C reflects official Shanghai meteorological observations recording a daily minimum near that threshold.** Subtropical monsoon conditions with northwest winds and partly cloudy skies produced typical overnight radiative cooling, aligning station readings from sites like Xujiahui (lowest near 21.4°C) with the market outcome. Multiple forecasts converged on lows of 21–23°C, and late-day temperatures hovering around 22–23°C confirm the floor has been established. Resolution hinges on final verified data from the Shanghai Meteorological Bureau; minor revisions from additional stations or quality-control adjustments remain the primary uncertainty, though current evidence strongly supports the 22°C bin.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月10日上海最低溫度？
9月10日上海最低溫度？
22°C 100.0%
18°C或以下 <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$16,042 交易量
$16,042 交易量
2026-09-10
18°C或以下
否
19°C
否
20°C
否
21°C
否
22°C
是
23°C
否
24°C
否
25°C
否
26°C
否
27°C
否
28°C或更高
否
22°C 100.0%
18°C或以下 <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$16,042 交易量
$16,042 交易量
2026-09-10
18°C或以下
$195 交易量
否
19°C
$823 交易量
否
20°C
$750 交易量
否
21°C
$2,706 交易量
否
22°C
$4,550 交易量
是
23°C
$4,597 交易量
否
24°C
$797 交易量
否
25°C
$1,048 交易量
否
26°C
$211 交易量
否
27°C
$216 交易量
否
28°C或更高
$151 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus at 100% on 22°C reflects official Shanghai meteorological observations recording a daily minimum near that threshold.** Subtropical monsoon conditions with northwest winds and partly cloudy skies produced typical overnight radiative cooling, aligning station readings from sites like Xujiahui (lowest near 21.4°C) with the market outcome. Multiple forecasts converged on lows of 21–23°C, and late-day temperatures hovering around 22–23°C confirm the floor has been established. Resolution hinges on final verified data from the Shanghai Meteorological Bureau; minor revisions from additional stations or quality-control adjustments remain the primary uncertainty, though current evidence strongly supports the 22°C bin.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 8, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
交易量
$16,042結束日期
2026-09-10市場開放時間
Sep 8, 2026, 12:29 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus at 100% on 22°C reflects official Shanghai meteorological observations recording a daily minimum near that threshold.** Subtropical monsoon conditions with northwest winds and partly cloudy skies produced typical overnight radiative cooling, aligning station readings from sites like Xujiahui (lowest near 21.4°C) with the market outcome. Multiple forecasts converged on lows of 21–23°C, and late-day temperatures hovering around 22–23°C confirm the floor has been established. Resolution hinges on final verified data from the Shanghai Meteorological Bureau; minor revisions from additional stations or quality-control adjustments remain the primary uncertainty, though current evidence strongly supports the 22°C bin.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$16,042結束日期
2026-09-10市場開放時間
Sep 8, 2026, 12:29 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
**Trader consensus at 100% on 22°C reflects official Shanghai meteorological observations recording a daily minimum near that threshold.** Subtropical monsoon conditions with northwest winds and partly cloudy skies produced typical overnight radiative cooling, aligning station readings from sites like Xujiahui (lowest near 21.4°C) with the market outcome. Multiple forecasts converged on lows of 21–23°C, and late-day temperatures hovering around 22–23°C confirm the floor has been established. Resolution hinges on final verified data from the Shanghai Meteorological Bureau; minor revisions from additional stations or quality-control adjustments remain the primary uncertainty, though current evidence strongly supports the 22°C bin.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions