Forecast models from sources including the Shenzhen Meteorological Bureau and international services converge on an overnight minimum near 26°C for August 28, driven by persistent high humidity above 90%, widespread cloud cover, and scattered showers that limit radiative cooling in Shenzhen’s subtropical monsoon climate. Historical climatology shows typical late-August lows of 25–27°C under similar conditions. Trader consensus at 94.5% implied probability for 26°C reflects this model agreement and the low likelihood of rapid clearing or an atypical cool surge. A sudden break in cloudiness allowing stronger nocturnal cooling or localized station variations could still push readings to 25°C or below, though current atmospheric stability makes such shifts improbable before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月28日深圳最低溫度？
8月28日深圳最低溫度？
26°C 95%
24°C 2%
25°C 2%
23°C <1%
最新
最新
2026-08-28
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
2%
25°C
10%
26°C
95%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
26°C 95%
24°C 2%
25°C 2%
23°C <1%
最新
最新
2026-08-28
22°C or below
$164 交易量
<1%
23°C
$75 交易量
1%
24°C
$24 交易量
2%
25°C
$60 交易量
10%
26°C
$333 交易量
95%
27°C
$85 交易量
<1%
28°C
$276 交易量
<1%
29°C
$502 交易量
<1%
30°C
$84 交易量
<1%
31°C
$244 交易量
<1%
32°C or higher
$94 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including the Shenzhen Meteorological Bureau and international services converge on an overnight minimum near 26°C for August 28, driven by persistent high humidity above 90%, widespread cloud cover, and scattered showers that limit radiative cooling in Shenzhen’s subtropical monsoon climate. Historical climatology shows typical late-August lows of 25–27°C under similar conditions. Trader consensus at 94.5% implied probability for 26°C reflects this model agreement and the low likelihood of rapid clearing or an atypical cool surge. A sudden break in cloudiness allowing stronger nocturnal cooling or localized station variations could still push readings to 25°C or below, though current atmospheric stability makes such shifts improbable before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 26, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$1,939結束日期
2026-08-28市場開放時間
Aug 26, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including the Shenzhen Meteorological Bureau and international services converge on an overnight minimum near 26°C for August 28, driven by persistent high humidity above 90%, widespread cloud cover, and scattered showers that limit radiative cooling in Shenzhen’s subtropical monsoon climate. Historical climatology shows typical late-August lows of 25–27°C under similar conditions. Trader consensus at 94.5% implied probability for 26°C reflects this model agreement and the low likelihood of rapid clearing or an atypical cool surge. A sudden break in cloudiness allowing stronger nocturnal cooling or localized station variations could still push readings to 25°C or below, though current atmospheric stability makes such shifts improbable before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,939結束日期
2026-08-28市場開放時間
Aug 26, 2026, 12:30 AM ETForecast models from sources including the Shenzhen Meteorological Bureau and international services converge on an overnight minimum near 26°C for August 28, driven by persistent high humidity above 90%, widespread cloud cover, and scattered showers that limit radiative cooling in Shenzhen’s subtropical monsoon climate. Historical climatology shows typical late-August lows of 25–27°C under similar conditions. Trader consensus at 94.5% implied probability for 26°C reflects this model agreement and the low likelihood of rapid clearing or an atypical cool surge. A sudden break in cloudiness allowing stronger nocturnal cooling or localized station variations could still push readings to 25°C or below, though current atmospheric stability makes such shifts improbable before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions