**Forecasts from multiple meteorological sources indicate a minimum temperature of 24–25°C for Tel Aviv on August 27, 2026, aligning closely with the market’s leading implied probabilities of 56% for 25°C and 44% for 24°C.** Typical late-summer conditions under clear to partly cloudy skies, light northwest winds, and elevated humidity (around 80–90% overnight) produce modest radiative cooling after daytime highs near 31–32°C. Official model guidance, including GFS outputs, shows early-morning lows stabilizing near 24°C without significant advection of cooler air or unusual cloud cover that would drive temperatures lower. This places 23°C or below at much lower probability, while warmer outcomes remain unlikely given the established diurnal range. Traders appear to be weighting the consensus forecast heavily, with any remaining spread reflecting minor model or station-specific variations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月27日特拉維夫的最低溫度？
8月27日特拉維夫的最低溫度？
25°C 99.5%
22°C 1.0%
23°C 1.0%
24°C 1.0%
$5,011 交易量
$5,011 交易量
2026-08-27
20°C or below
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
Yes
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C or higher
No
25°C 99.5%
22°C 1.0%
23°C 1.0%
24°C 1.0%
$5,011 交易量
$5,011 交易量
2026-08-27
20°C or below
$250 交易量
No
21°C
$254 交易量
No
22°C
$223 交易量
No
23°C
$109 交易量
No
24°C
$167 交易量
No
25°C
$926 交易量
Yes
26°C
$353 交易量
No
27°C
$40 交易量
No
28°C
$180 交易量
No
29°C
$1,539 交易量
No
30°C or higher
$969 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecasts from multiple meteorological sources indicate a minimum temperature of 24–25°C for Tel Aviv on August 27, 2026, aligning closely with the market’s leading implied probabilities of 56% for 25°C and 44% for 24°C.** Typical late-summer conditions under clear to partly cloudy skies, light northwest winds, and elevated humidity (around 80–90% overnight) produce modest radiative cooling after daytime highs near 31–32°C. Official model guidance, including GFS outputs, shows early-morning lows stabilizing near 24°C without significant advection of cooler air or unusual cloud cover that would drive temperatures lower. This places 23°C or below at much lower probability, while warmer outcomes remain unlikely given the established diurnal range. Traders appear to be weighting the consensus forecast heavily, with any remaining spread reflecting minor model or station-specific variations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 25, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
交易量
$5,011結束日期
2026-08-27市場開放時間
Aug 25, 2026, 12:29 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecasts from multiple meteorological sources indicate a minimum temperature of 24–25°C for Tel Aviv on August 27, 2026, aligning closely with the market’s leading implied probabilities of 56% for 25°C and 44% for 24°C.** Typical late-summer conditions under clear to partly cloudy skies, light northwest winds, and elevated humidity (around 80–90% overnight) produce modest radiative cooling after daytime highs near 31–32°C. Official model guidance, including GFS outputs, shows early-morning lows stabilizing near 24°C without significant advection of cooler air or unusual cloud cover that would drive temperatures lower. This places 23°C or below at much lower probability, while warmer outcomes remain unlikely given the established diurnal range. Traders appear to be weighting the consensus forecast heavily, with any remaining spread reflecting minor model or station-specific variations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$5,011結束日期
2026-08-27市場開放時間
Aug 25, 2026, 12:29 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
**Forecasts from multiple meteorological sources indicate a minimum temperature of 24–25°C for Tel Aviv on August 27, 2026, aligning closely with the market’s leading implied probabilities of 56% for 25°C and 44% for 24°C.** Typical late-summer conditions under clear to partly cloudy skies, light northwest winds, and elevated humidity (around 80–90% overnight) produce modest radiative cooling after daytime highs near 31–32°C. Official model guidance, including GFS outputs, shows early-morning lows stabilizing near 24°C without significant advection of cooler air or unusual cloud cover that would drive temperatures lower. This places 23°C or below at much lower probability, while warmer outcomes remain unlikely given the established diurnal range. Traders appear to be weighting the consensus forecast heavily, with any remaining spread reflecting minor model or station-specific variations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions