Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts project a minimum temperature of 23°C for Tokyo on August 14 under partly cloudy conditions with light northeasterly winds and scattered showers. This aligns closely with the August climatological normal of 23.6°C, where persistent high humidity and the urban heat island effect from Tokyo's dense infrastructure typically restrict overnight radiative cooling to maintain lows near this threshold. Ensemble model consensus shows limited variability around these values. Scenarios that could realistically shift the outcome include unexpected clear-sky intervals promoting greater heat loss, stronger winds enhancing mixing, or late forecast revisions from official monitoring updates before the daily minimum is recorded. Trader consensus at 100% for 23°C reflects this strong alignment between current observations, historical baselines, and near-term model guidance.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月14日東京最低溫度？
8月14日東京最低溫度？
23°C 100.0%
19°C或以下 <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$11,604 交易量
$11,604 交易量
2026-08-14
19°C或以下
否
20°C
否
21°C
否
22°C
否
23°C
是
24°C
否
25°C
否
26°C
否
27°C
否
28°C
否
29°C或以上
否
23°C 100.0%
19°C或以下 <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$11,604 交易量
$11,604 交易量
2026-08-14
19°C或以下
$329 交易量
否
20°C
$335 交易量
否
21°C
$540 交易量
否
22°C
$1,001 交易量
否
23°C
$2,089 交易量
是
24°C
$2,512 交易量
否
25°C
$2,406 交易量
否
26°C
$632 交易量
否
27°C
$1,220 交易量
否
28°C
$227 交易量
否
29°C或以上
$314 交易量
否
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts project a minimum temperature of 23°C for Tokyo on August 14 under partly cloudy conditions with light northeasterly winds and scattered showers. This aligns closely with the August climatological normal of 23.6°C, where persistent high humidity and the urban heat island effect from Tokyo's dense infrastructure typically restrict overnight radiative cooling to maintain lows near this threshold. Ensemble model consensus shows limited variability around these values. Scenarios that could realistically shift the outcome include unexpected clear-sky intervals promoting greater heat loss, stronger winds enhancing mixing, or late forecast revisions from official monitoring updates before the daily minimum is recorded. Trader consensus at 100% for 23°C reflects this strong alignment between current observations, historical baselines, and near-term model guidance.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$11,604結束日期
2026-08-14市場開放時間
Aug 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ET已提議結果: 是
無爭議
最終結果: 是
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts project a minimum temperature of 23°C for Tokyo on August 14 under partly cloudy conditions with light northeasterly winds and scattered showers. This aligns closely with the August climatological normal of 23.6°C, where persistent high humidity and the urban heat island effect from Tokyo's dense infrastructure typically restrict overnight radiative cooling to maintain lows near this threshold. Ensemble model consensus shows limited variability around these values. Scenarios that could realistically shift the outcome include unexpected clear-sky intervals promoting greater heat loss, stronger winds enhancing mixing, or late forecast revisions from official monitoring updates before the daily minimum is recorded. Trader consensus at 100% for 23°C reflects this strong alignment between current observations, historical baselines, and near-term model guidance.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$11,604結束日期
2026-08-14市場開放時間
Aug 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ET已提議結果: 是
無爭議
最終結果: 是
Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts project a minimum temperature of 23°C for Tokyo on August 14 under partly cloudy conditions with light northeasterly winds and scattered showers. This aligns closely with the August climatological normal of 23.6°C, where persistent high humidity and the urban heat island effect from Tokyo's dense infrastructure typically restrict overnight radiative cooling to maintain lows near this threshold. Ensemble model consensus shows limited variability around these values. Scenarios that could realistically shift the outcome include unexpected clear-sky intervals promoting greater heat loss, stronger winds enhancing mixing, or late forecast revisions from official monitoring updates before the daily minimum is recorded. Trader consensus at 100% for 23°C reflects this strong alignment between current observations, historical baselines, and near-term model guidance.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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