Michigan's 13th congressional district, encompassing much of Detroit and surrounding urban areas, maintains one of the strongest Democratic leans in the state, reflected in consistent double-digit margins and high partisan voting indices favoring the party. The August 4, 2026 Democratic primary produced a clear nominee in state Rep. Donavan McKinney after he defeated incumbent Shri Thanedar, setting up a general election matchup against Republican Taras Nykoriak in a district where Democratic candidates have historically captured over 65% of the vote. Trader consensus at 96.5% for the Democratic Party aligns with this structural advantage and the absence of competitive general-election dynamics or recent polling shifts. While a late-breaking scandal, health event, or unprecedented turnout surge could theoretically alter the outcome before November 3, 2026, such developments remain low-probability given the district's established voting patterns and limited Republican infrastructure.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$48,928 交易量
$48,928 交易量
2026-11-02
民主黨
96%
共和黨
1%
$48,928 交易量
$48,928 交易量
2026-11-02
民主黨
$28,960 交易量
96%
共和黨
$19,968 交易量
1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Michigan's 13th congressional district, encompassing much of Detroit and surrounding urban areas, maintains one of the strongest Democratic leans in the state, reflected in consistent double-digit margins and high partisan voting indices favoring the party. The August 4, 2026 Democratic primary produced a clear nominee in state Rep. Donavan McKinney after he defeated incumbent Shri Thanedar, setting up a general election matchup against Republican Taras Nykoriak in a district where Democratic candidates have historically captured over 65% of the vote. Trader consensus at 96.5% for the Democratic Party aligns with this structural advantage and the absence of competitive general-election dynamics or recent polling shifts. While a late-breaking scandal, health event, or unprecedented turnout surge could theoretically alter the outcome before November 3, 2026, such developments remain low-probability given the district's established voting patterns and limited Republican infrastructure.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
交易量
$48,928結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Michigan's 13th congressional district, encompassing much of Detroit and surrounding urban areas, maintains one of the strongest Democratic leans in the state, reflected in consistent double-digit margins and high partisan voting indices favoring the party. The August 4, 2026 Democratic primary produced a clear nominee in state Rep. Donavan McKinney after he defeated incumbent Shri Thanedar, setting up a general election matchup against Republican Taras Nykoriak in a district where Democratic candidates have historically captured over 65% of the vote. Trader consensus at 96.5% for the Democratic Party aligns with this structural advantage and the absence of competitive general-election dynamics or recent polling shifts. While a late-breaking scandal, health event, or unprecedented turnout surge could theoretically alter the outcome before November 3, 2026, such developments remain low-probability given the district's established voting patterns and limited Republican infrastructure.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$48,928結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Michigan's 13th congressional district, encompassing much of Detroit and surrounding urban areas, maintains one of the strongest Democratic leans in the state, reflected in consistent double-digit margins and high partisan voting indices favoring the party. The August 4, 2026 Democratic primary produced a clear nominee in state Rep. Donavan McKinney after he defeated incumbent Shri Thanedar, setting up a general election matchup against Republican Taras Nykoriak in a district where Democratic candidates have historically captured over 65% of the vote. Trader consensus at 96.5% for the Democratic Party aligns with this structural advantage and the absence of competitive general-election dynamics or recent polling shifts. While a late-breaking scandal, health event, or unprecedented turnout surge could theoretically alter the outcome before November 3, 2026, such developments remain low-probability given the district's established voting patterns and limited Republican infrastructure.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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