Incumbent Democratic Representative Susie Lee holds a structural edge in Nevada’s 3rd congressional district heading into the November 2026 general election, with traders assigning the Democratic nominee a 68 percent implied probability of victory. The district’s modest Democratic lean, reflected in recent partisan voting indexes and Susie Lee’s narrow but consistent general-election margins since 2018, underpins this positioning. With primaries scheduled for June 9, multiple Democratic contenders are competing to succeed her, while Republicans face a crowded primary that includes candidates backed by national party figures and state leaders such as Governor Joe Lombardo. No major polling shifts or late-breaking endorsements have altered the race in recent weeks, leaving the current odds aligned with the seat’s historical performance and the limited time remaining before voters narrow the fields.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於最新
最新
2026-11-04
民主黨
68%
共和黨
23%
最新
最新
2026-11-04
民主黨
$332 交易量
68%
共和黨
$90 交易量
23%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democratic Representative Susie Lee holds a structural edge in Nevada’s 3rd congressional district heading into the November 2026 general election, with traders assigning the Democratic nominee a 68 percent implied probability of victory. The district’s modest Democratic lean, reflected in recent partisan voting indexes and Susie Lee’s narrow but consistent general-election margins since 2018, underpins this positioning. With primaries scheduled for June 9, multiple Democratic contenders are competing to succeed her, while Republicans face a crowded primary that includes candidates backed by national party figures and state leaders such as Governor Joe Lombardo. No major polling shifts or late-breaking endorsements have altered the race in recent weeks, leaving the current odds aligned with the seat’s historical performance and the limited time remaining before voters narrow the fields.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ET
交易量
$422結束日期
2026-11-04市場開放時間
Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democratic Representative Susie Lee holds a structural edge in Nevada’s 3rd congressional district heading into the November 2026 general election, with traders assigning the Democratic nominee a 68 percent implied probability of victory. The district’s modest Democratic lean, reflected in recent partisan voting indexes and Susie Lee’s narrow but consistent general-election margins since 2018, underpins this positioning. With primaries scheduled for June 9, multiple Democratic contenders are competing to succeed her, while Republicans face a crowded primary that includes candidates backed by national party figures and state leaders such as Governor Joe Lombardo. No major polling shifts or late-breaking endorsements have altered the race in recent weeks, leaving the current odds aligned with the seat’s historical performance and the limited time remaining before voters narrow the fields.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$422結束日期
2026-11-04市場開放時間
Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democratic Representative Susie Lee holds a structural edge in Nevada’s 3rd congressional district heading into the November 2026 general election, with traders assigning the Democratic nominee a 68 percent implied probability of victory. The district’s modest Democratic lean, reflected in recent partisan voting indexes and Susie Lee’s narrow but consistent general-election margins since 2018, underpins this positioning. With primaries scheduled for June 9, multiple Democratic contenders are competing to succeed her, while Republicans face a crowded primary that includes candidates backed by national party figures and state leaders such as Governor Joe Lombardo. No major polling shifts or late-breaking endorsements have altered the race in recent weeks, leaving the current odds aligned with the seat’s historical performance and the limited time remaining before voters narrow the fields.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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