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世界·商務

賈月婷會在…前進入中國大陸嗎？

icon for 賈月婷會在…前進入中國大陸嗎？
世界·商務

賈月婷會在…前進入中國大陸嗎？

$37,396 交易量

2026-06-30
Polymarket

$37,396 交易量

Polymarket

2026年6月30日

$22,623 交易量

1%

If Jia Yueting enters mainland China by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, "entering mainland China" is defined as Jia Yueting physically setting foot within the territory of the People’s Republic of China, excluding Hong Kong, Macau, and Taiwan. Travel through airspace or territorial waters during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.If Jia Yueting enters mainland China by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, "entering mainland China" is defined as Jia Yueting physically setting foot within the territory of the People’s Republic of China, excluding Hong Kong, Macau, and Taiwan. Travel through airspace or territorial waters during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Jia Yueting has remained outside mainland China since 2017 due to unresolved personal debts exceeding 14 billion yuan that placed him on the Supreme People's Court national debtor blacklist, which restricts travel and consumption. Recent corporate developments at Faraday Future, including a $45 million financing round and his May 2026 reinstatement as global CEO, have not produced verifiable creditor settlements or policy shifts that would lift the restrictions. No official announcements or regulatory actions in the past year indicate progress toward compliance sufficient for entry. With the June 30, 2026 resolution deadline approaching and no scheduled diplomatic, legal, or financial catalysts in the interim, trader consensus assigns low implied probability to a return, reflecting the structural barriers tied to enforcement of court orders and the absence of debt resolution milestones.

If Jia Yueting enters mainland China by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purpose of this market, "entering mainland China" is defined as Jia Yueting physically setting foot within the territory of the People’s Republic of China, excluding Hong Kong, Macau, and Taiwan.

Travel through airspace or territorial waters during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$37,396
結束日期
2026-06-30
市場開放時間
Oct 28, 2025, 7:50 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
If Jia Yueting enters mainland China by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, "entering mainland China" is defined as Jia Yueting physically setting foot within the territory of the People’s Republic of China, excluding Hong Kong, Macau, and Taiwan. Travel through airspace or territorial waters during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If Jia Yueting enters mainland China by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, "entering mainland China" is defined as Jia Yueting physically setting foot within the territory of the People’s Republic of China, excluding Hong Kong, Macau, and Taiwan. Travel through airspace or territorial waters during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.If Jia Yueting enters mainland China by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, "entering mainland China" is defined as Jia Yueting physically setting foot within the territory of the People’s Republic of China, excluding Hong Kong, Macau, and Taiwan. Travel through airspace or territorial waters during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Jia Yueting has remained outside mainland China since 2017 due to unresolved personal debts exceeding 14 billion yuan that placed him on the Supreme People's Court national debtor blacklist, which restricts travel and consumption. Recent corporate developments at Faraday Future, including a $45 million financing round and his May 2026 reinstatement as global CEO, have not produced verifiable creditor settlements or policy shifts that would lift the restrictions. No official announcements or regulatory actions in the past year indicate progress toward compliance sufficient for entry. With the June 30, 2026 resolution deadline approaching and no scheduled diplomatic, legal, or financial catalysts in the interim, trader consensus assigns low implied probability to a return, reflecting the structural barriers tied to enforcement of court orders and the absence of debt resolution milestones.

If Jia Yueting enters mainland China by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purpose of this market, "entering mainland China" is defined as Jia Yueting physically setting foot within the territory of the People’s Republic of China, excluding Hong Kong, Macau, and Taiwan.

Travel through airspace or territorial waters during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$37,396
結束日期
2026-06-30
市場開放時間
Oct 28, 2025, 7:50 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
If Jia Yueting enters mainland China by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, "entering mainland China" is defined as Jia Yueting physically setting foot within the territory of the People’s Republic of China, excluding Hong Kong, Macau, and Taiwan. Travel through airspace or territorial waters during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"賈月婷會在…前進入中國大陸嗎？" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "2026年6月30日" at 1%, followed by "2025年12月31日" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 1¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 1% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "賈月婷會在…前進入中國大陸嗎？" has generated $37.4K in total trading volume since the market launched on Oct 28, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "賈月婷會在…前進入中國大陸嗎？," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

This is a wide-open market. The current leader for "賈月婷會在…前進入中國大陸嗎？" is "2026年6月30日" at just 1%, with "2025年12月31日" close behind at 0%. With no outcome commanding a strong majority, traders see this as highly uncertain, which can present unique trading opportunities. These odds update in real-time, so bookmark this page to watch how the probabilities evolve.

The resolution rules for "賈月婷會在…前進入中國大陸嗎？" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.