**Official observations from Austin-Bergstrom International Airport confirm a daily maximum of 96–97°F on August 14, 2026, aligning precisely with the market’s near-certain outcome.** Persistent high pressure and southerly flow maintained elevated humidity and limited daytime mixing, keeping temperatures in the upper 90s rather than allowing further intensification. This matches August climatology for central Texas, where average highs hover near 98°F, and recent model runs from the National Weather Service showed minimal deviation once afternoon readings stabilized. The overwhelming trader consensus reflects these verified measurements from authoritative monitoring stations, though minor discrepancies in microclimate data or reporting timing could theoretically shift resolution in edge cases.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月14日奥斯汀的最高温度？
8月14日奥斯汀的最高温度？
96-97°F 100.0%
87°F or below <1%
88-89°F <1%
90-91°F <1%
$30,221 交易量
$30,221 交易量
2026-08-14
87°F or below
No
88-89°F
No
90-91°F
No
92-93°F
No
94-95°F
No
96-97°F
Yes
98-99°F
No
100-101°F
否
102-103°F
否
104-105°F
否
106华氏度或更高
否
96-97°F 100.0%
87°F or below <1%
88-89°F <1%
90-91°F <1%
$30,221 交易量
$30,221 交易量
2026-08-14
87°F or below
$204 交易量
No
88-89°F
$222 交易量
No
90-91°F
$832 交易量
No
92-93°F
$1,336 交易量
No
94-95°F
$3,294 交易量
No
96-97°F
$10,654 交易量
Yes
98-99°F
$7,179 交易量
No
100-101°F
$2,531 交易量
否
102-103°F
$1,773 交易量
否
104-105°F
$1,415 交易量
否
106华氏度或更高
$782 交易量
否
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official observations from Austin-Bergstrom International Airport confirm a daily maximum of 96–97°F on August 14, 2026, aligning precisely with the market’s near-certain outcome.** Persistent high pressure and southerly flow maintained elevated humidity and limited daytime mixing, keeping temperatures in the upper 90s rather than allowing further intensification. This matches August climatology for central Texas, where average highs hover near 98°F, and recent model runs from the National Weather Service showed minimal deviation once afternoon readings stabilized. The overwhelming trader consensus reflects these verified measurements from authoritative monitoring stations, though minor discrepancies in microclimate data or reporting timing could theoretically shift resolution in edge cases.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 12, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
交易量
$30,221结束日期
2026-08-14市场开放时间
Aug 12, 2026, 8:56 PM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official observations from Austin-Bergstrom International Airport confirm a daily maximum of 96–97°F on August 14, 2026, aligning precisely with the market’s near-certain outcome.** Persistent high pressure and southerly flow maintained elevated humidity and limited daytime mixing, keeping temperatures in the upper 90s rather than allowing further intensification. This matches August climatology for central Texas, where average highs hover near 98°F, and recent model runs from the National Weather Service showed minimal deviation once afternoon readings stabilized. The overwhelming trader consensus reflects these verified measurements from authoritative monitoring stations, though minor discrepancies in microclimate data or reporting timing could theoretically shift resolution in edge cases.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$30,221结束日期
2026-08-14市场开放时间
Aug 12, 2026, 8:56 PM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
**Official observations from Austin-Bergstrom International Airport confirm a daily maximum of 96–97°F on August 14, 2026, aligning precisely with the market’s near-certain outcome.** Persistent high pressure and southerly flow maintained elevated humidity and limited daytime mixing, keeping temperatures in the upper 90s rather than allowing further intensification. This matches August climatology for central Texas, where average highs hover near 98°F, and recent model runs from the National Weather Service showed minimal deviation once afternoon readings stabilized. The overwhelming trader consensus reflects these verified measurements from authoritative monitoring stations, though minor discrepancies in microclimate data or reporting timing could theoretically shift resolution in edge cases.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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