Recent forecasts from meteorological models converge on a daily maximum of 15–16°C for Buenos Aires on August 15 amid typical Southern Hemisphere winter conditions, with cool southerly flow, variable cloud cover, and light winds limiting daytime warming. Official guidance highlights patchy showers that may briefly suppress peaks while drier air later supports modest recovery toward the upper end of that range, consistent with August climatology of highs near 15°C. Trader consensus reflected in the 63.5% implied probability for 16°C and 17.5% for 15°C incorporates this model agreement and low likelihood of significant warm advection or clear-sky enhancement, though small adjustments remain possible with final observational data or minor forecast revisions.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月15日布宜诺斯艾利斯的最高温度？
8月15日布宜诺斯艾利斯的最高温度？
16°C 65%
15°C 18%
17°C 15%
14°C 3%
最新
$17,692 交易量
最新
$17,692 交易量
2026-08-15
12°C or below
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
3%
15°C
18%
16°C
65%
17°C
15%
18°C
3%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C or higher
<1%
16°C 65%
15°C 18%
17°C 15%
14°C 3%
最新
$17,692 交易量
最新
$17,692 交易量
2026-08-15
12°C or below
$271 交易量
<1%
13°C
$1,784 交易量
<1%
14°C
$902 交易量
3%
15°C
$2,145 交易量
18%
16°C
$7,857 交易量
65%
17°C
$1,888 交易量
15%
18°C
$1,631 交易量
3%
19°C
$395 交易量
<1%
20°C
$452 交易量
<1%
21°C
$177 交易量
<1%
22°C or higher
$189 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from meteorological models converge on a daily maximum of 15–16°C for Buenos Aires on August 15 amid typical Southern Hemisphere winter conditions, with cool southerly flow, variable cloud cover, and light winds limiting daytime warming. Official guidance highlights patchy showers that may briefly suppress peaks while drier air later supports modest recovery toward the upper end of that range, consistent with August climatology of highs near 15°C. Trader consensus reflected in the 63.5% implied probability for 16°C and 17.5% for 15°C incorporates this model agreement and low likelihood of significant warm advection or clear-sky enhancement, though small adjustments remain possible with final observational data or minor forecast revisions.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 13, 2026, 8:55 PM ET
交易量
$17,692结束日期
2026-08-15市场开放时间
Aug 13, 2026, 8:55 PM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from meteorological models converge on a daily maximum of 15–16°C for Buenos Aires on August 15 amid typical Southern Hemisphere winter conditions, with cool southerly flow, variable cloud cover, and light winds limiting daytime warming. Official guidance highlights patchy showers that may briefly suppress peaks while drier air later supports modest recovery toward the upper end of that range, consistent with August climatology of highs near 15°C. Trader consensus reflected in the 63.5% implied probability for 16°C and 17.5% for 15°C incorporates this model agreement and low likelihood of significant warm advection or clear-sky enhancement, though small adjustments remain possible with final observational data or minor forecast revisions.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$17,692结束日期
2026-08-15市场开放时间
Aug 13, 2026, 8:55 PM ETRecent forecasts from meteorological models converge on a daily maximum of 15–16°C for Buenos Aires on August 15 amid typical Southern Hemisphere winter conditions, with cool southerly flow, variable cloud cover, and light winds limiting daytime warming. Official guidance highlights patchy showers that may briefly suppress peaks while drier air later supports modest recovery toward the upper end of that range, consistent with August climatology of highs near 15°C. Trader consensus reflected in the 63.5% implied probability for 16°C and 17.5% for 15°C incorporates this model agreement and low likelihood of significant warm advection or clear-sky enhancement, though small adjustments remain possible with final observational data or minor forecast revisions.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题