Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in forecast models for Jeddah's highest temperature on May 15, with GFS, ECMWF, and ensemble guidance clustering around 38–40°C amid persistent subtropical high pressure over the Arabian Peninsula. Recent 00z and 12z model runs show minor divergences—some holding 38°C with stronger sea breezes from the warm Red Sea (surface temperatures near 30°C), others pushing toward 39–40°C under clearer skies and lighter winds—driving the near-even implied probabilities. May climatology at King Abdulaziz International Airport averages 37°C highs, but current hazy conditions and low precipitation risk support above-normal warmth. Watch Saudi National Center for Meteorology updates and afternoon observations for resolution-defining peaks.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Jeddah on May 15?
Highest temperature in Jeddah on May 15?
40°C or higher 31%
38°C 27%
39°C 25%
37°C 9%
最新
$11,531 交易量
最新
$11,531 交易量
2026-05-15
30°C or below
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
1%
36°C
2%
37°C
9%
38°C
27%
39°C
25%
40°C or higher
31%
40°C or higher 31%
38°C 27%
39°C 25%
37°C 9%
最新
$11,531 交易量
最新
$11,531 交易量
2026-05-15
30°C or below
$1,305 交易量
<1%
31°C
$1,571 交易量
<1%
32°C
$2,181 交易量
<1%
33°C
$1,647 交易量
<1%
34°C
$1,378 交易量
<1%
35°C
$769 交易量
1%
36°C
$1,420 交易量
2%
37°C
$471 交易量
9%
38°C
$359 交易量
27%
39°C
$112 交易量
25%
40°C or higher
$319 交易量
31%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in forecast models for Jeddah's highest temperature on May 15, with GFS, ECMWF, and ensemble guidance clustering around 38–40°C amid persistent subtropical high pressure over the Arabian Peninsula. Recent 00z and 12z model runs show minor divergences—some holding 38°C with stronger sea breezes from the warm Red Sea (surface temperatures near 30°C), others pushing toward 39–40°C under clearer skies and lighter winds—driving the near-even implied probabilities. May climatology at King Abdulaziz International Airport averages 37°C highs, but current hazy conditions and low precipitation risk support above-normal warmth. Watch Saudi National Center for Meteorology updates and afternoon observations for resolution-defining peaks.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： May 13, 2026, 12:49 AM ET
交易量
$11,531结束日期
2026-05-15市场开放时间
May 13, 2026, 12:49 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in forecast models for Jeddah's highest temperature on May 15, with GFS, ECMWF, and ensemble guidance clustering around 38–40°C amid persistent subtropical high pressure over the Arabian Peninsula. Recent 00z and 12z model runs show minor divergences—some holding 38°C with stronger sea breezes from the warm Red Sea (surface temperatures near 30°C), others pushing toward 39–40°C under clearer skies and lighter winds—driving the near-even implied probabilities. May climatology at King Abdulaziz International Airport averages 37°C highs, but current hazy conditions and low precipitation risk support above-normal warmth. Watch Saudi National Center for Meteorology updates and afternoon observations for resolution-defining peaks.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$11,531结束日期
2026-05-15市场开放时间
May 13, 2026, 12:49 AM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in forecast models for Jeddah's highest temperature on May 15, with GFS, ECMWF, and ensemble guidance clustering around 38–40°C amid persistent subtropical high pressure over the Arabian Peninsula. Recent 00z and 12z model runs show minor divergences—some holding 38°C with stronger sea breezes from the warm Red Sea (surface temperatures near 30°C), others pushing toward 39–40°C under clearer skies and lighter winds—driving the near-even implied probabilities. May climatology at King Abdulaziz International Airport averages 37°C highs, but current hazy conditions and low precipitation risk support above-normal warmth. Watch Saudi National Center for Meteorology updates and afternoon observations for resolution-defining peaks.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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