Official meteorological records from Mexico City stations confirm a daily maximum of 24°C on August 27, 2026, aligning precisely with the market's near-100% implied probability for that outcome. Persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 60%, and scattered rainfall suppressed daytime heating below typical late-August peaks, consistent with National Weather Service of Mexico data and regional model runs showing limited solar insolation. Historical August averages of 22–24°C provide climatological context for this result. Only revised station readings or definitional disputes over measurement timing could alter resolution, though post-event verification makes such shifts improbable.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月27日墨西哥城的最高温度?
24°C 100.0%
18°C或以下 <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$13,336 交易量
$13,336 交易量
18°C或以下
否
19°C
否
20°C
否
21°C
否
22°C
否
23°C
否
24°C
是
25°C
否
26°C
否
27°C
否
28°C或更高
否
24°C 100.0%
18°C或以下 <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$13,336 交易量
$13,336 交易量
18°C或以下
否
19°C
否
20°C
否
21°C
否
22°C
否
23°C
否
24°C
是
25°C
否
26°C
否
27°C
否
28°C或更高
否
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 25, 2026, 8:57 PM ET
已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
Official meteorological records from Mexico City stations confirm a daily maximum of 24°C on August 27, 2026, aligning precisely with the market's near-100% implied probability for that outcome. Persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 60%, and scattered rainfall suppressed daytime heating below typical late-August peaks, consistent with National Weather Service of Mexico data and regional model runs showing limited solar insolation. Historical August averages of 22–24°C provide climatological context for this result. Only revised station readings or definitional disputes over measurement timing could alter resolution, though post-event verification makes such shifts improbable.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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