Current numerical weather prediction consensus from the Israel Meteorological Service, Met Office, and European models positions a maximum of 33°C as the most probable outcome for Tel Aviv on August 16, driven by typical mid-August Mediterranean conditions of abundant sunshine, light westerly flow, and limited marine moderation. These factors support strong daytime heating without extreme heat advection from the interior, aligning with historical averages near 32–33°C and explaining the market's heavy weighting toward 33°C at 70.5% implied probability versus 32°C at 28.5%. Minor variations in cloud cover or boundary-layer mixing could shift the peak across that threshold, while higher extremes remain unlikely absent unexpected synoptic changes. Updated model runs and official briefings tomorrow morning represent the key data points ahead of market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月16日特拉维夫的最高温度？
8月16日特拉维夫的最高温度？
33°C 71%
32°C 29%
34°C 3%
31°C <1%
最新
$12,319 交易量
最新
$12,319 交易量
2026-08-16
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
29%
33°C
71%
34°C
3%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
33°C 71%
32°C 29%
34°C 3%
31°C <1%
最新
$12,319 交易量
最新
$12,319 交易量
2026-08-16
29°C or below
$915 交易量
<1%
30°C
$1,177 交易量
<1%
31°C
$852 交易量
1%
32°C
$2,520 交易量
29%
33°C
$3,124 交易量
71%
34°C
$1,140 交易量
3%
35°C
$676 交易量
<1%
36°C
$516 交易量
<1%
37°C
$502 交易量
<1%
38°C
$456 交易量
<1%
39°C or higher
$441 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current numerical weather prediction consensus from the Israel Meteorological Service, Met Office, and European models positions a maximum of 33°C as the most probable outcome for Tel Aviv on August 16, driven by typical mid-August Mediterranean conditions of abundant sunshine, light westerly flow, and limited marine moderation. These factors support strong daytime heating without extreme heat advection from the interior, aligning with historical averages near 32–33°C and explaining the market's heavy weighting toward 33°C at 70.5% implied probability versus 32°C at 28.5%. Minor variations in cloud cover or boundary-layer mixing could shift the peak across that threshold, while higher extremes remain unlikely absent unexpected synoptic changes. Updated model runs and official briefings tomorrow morning represent the key data points ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$12,319结束日期
2026-08-16市场开放时间
Aug 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current numerical weather prediction consensus from the Israel Meteorological Service, Met Office, and European models positions a maximum of 33°C as the most probable outcome for Tel Aviv on August 16, driven by typical mid-August Mediterranean conditions of abundant sunshine, light westerly flow, and limited marine moderation. These factors support strong daytime heating without extreme heat advection from the interior, aligning with historical averages near 32–33°C and explaining the market's heavy weighting toward 33°C at 70.5% implied probability versus 32°C at 28.5%. Minor variations in cloud cover or boundary-layer mixing could shift the peak across that threshold, while higher extremes remain unlikely absent unexpected synoptic changes. Updated model runs and official briefings tomorrow morning represent the key data points ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$12,319结束日期
2026-08-16市场开放时间
Aug 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current numerical weather prediction consensus from the Israel Meteorological Service, Met Office, and European models positions a maximum of 33°C as the most probable outcome for Tel Aviv on August 16, driven by typical mid-August Mediterranean conditions of abundant sunshine, light westerly flow, and limited marine moderation. These factors support strong daytime heating without extreme heat advection from the interior, aligning with historical averages near 32–33°C and explaining the market's heavy weighting toward 33°C at 70.5% implied probability versus 32°C at 28.5%. Minor variations in cloud cover or boundary-layer mixing could shift the peak across that threshold, while higher extremes remain unlikely absent unexpected synoptic changes. Updated model runs and official briefings tomorrow morning represent the key data points ahead of market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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