Recent July FOMC data and communications have fragmented trader views on September dissents, with persistent 3.7% headline PCE inflation and 3.3% core readings keeping three hawkish members—Hammack, Kashkari, and Logan—aligned against the 9-3 hold decision at the 3.50-3.75% target range. Softening July payrolls and a 4.1-4.2% unemployment rate introduce countervailing labor-market signals that could limit further divergence, while elevated oil prices tied to Middle East supply risks sustain upward pressure on the inflation outlook. With incoming August CPI, PCE, and employment reports due before the September 15-16 meeting, the tightly bunched probabilities around two to four dissents reflect uncertainty over whether additional voting members will join the hawkish bloc or whether moderating energy costs will reinforce consensus for patience.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于在9月份的美联储会议上有多少人持不同意见?
3 29%
4+ 20%
2 18%
1 16%
0
12%
1
16%
2
18%
3
29%
4+
20%
3 29%
4+ 20%
2 18%
1 16%
0
12%
1
16%
2
18%
3
29%
4+
20%
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the September Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for September 15-16, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their September meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
市场开放时间: Aug 27, 2026, 7:01 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the September Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for September 15-16, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their September meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Recent July FOMC data and communications have fragmented trader views on September dissents, with persistent 3.7% headline PCE inflation and 3.3% core readings keeping three hawkish members—Hammack, Kashkari, and Logan—aligned against the 9-3 hold decision at the 3.50-3.75% target range. Softening July payrolls and a 4.1-4.2% unemployment rate introduce countervailing labor-market signals that could limit further divergence, while elevated oil prices tied to Middle East supply risks sustain upward pressure on the inflation outlook. With incoming August CPI, PCE, and employment reports due before the September 15-16 meeting, the tightly bunched probabilities around two to four dissents reflect uncertainty over whether additional voting members will join the hawkish bloc or whether moderating energy costs will reinforce consensus for patience.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于


警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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