Recent model consensus from KNMI, ECMWF, and GFS places Amsterdam’s overnight minimum on August 29 near 15–17 °C under continued southwesterly flow. Persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and moderate winds of 6–8 m/s limit nocturnal radiative cooling while mild maritime air keeps dew points elevated around 14–16 °C. Official KNMI guidance currently favors a 15 °C floor, whereas some ensemble members allow brief clearing that could permit a dip to 16–17 °C or hold readings near 17 °C if showers arrive later. The tight spread in market-implied probabilities mirrors this narrow range of plausible outcomes driven by small differences in overnight cloud fraction and boundary-layer mixing. Updated high-resolution runs and the 00 UTC cycle will provide the next decisive data.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月29日阿姆斯特丹的最低温度？
8月29日阿姆斯特丹的最低温度？
15°C 31%
17°C 27%
16°C 26%
18°C 25%
最新
最新
2026-08-29
12°C or below
10%
13°C
15%
14°C
9%
15°C
31%
16°C
26%
17°C
27%
18°C
25%
19°C
15%
20°C
8%
21°C
2%
22°C or higher
4%
15°C 31%
17°C 27%
16°C 26%
18°C 25%
最新
最新
2026-08-29
12°C or below
$5 交易量
10%
13°C
$64 交易量
15%
14°C
$0 交易量
9%
15°C
$0 交易量
31%
16°C
$0 交易量
26%
17°C
$0 交易量
27%
18°C
$0 交易量
25%
19°C
$5 交易量
15%
20°C
$5 交易量
8%
21°C
$5 交易量
2%
22°C or higher
$5 交易量
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from KNMI, ECMWF, and GFS places Amsterdam’s overnight minimum on August 29 near 15–17 °C under continued southwesterly flow. Persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and moderate winds of 6–8 m/s limit nocturnal radiative cooling while mild maritime air keeps dew points elevated around 14–16 °C. Official KNMI guidance currently favors a 15 °C floor, whereas some ensemble members allow brief clearing that could permit a dip to 16–17 °C or hold readings near 17 °C if showers arrive later. The tight spread in market-implied probabilities mirrors this narrow range of plausible outcomes driven by small differences in overnight cloud fraction and boundary-layer mixing. Updated high-resolution runs and the 00 UTC cycle will provide the next decisive data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 27, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
交易量
$89结束日期
2026-08-29市场开放时间
Aug 27, 2026, 12:31 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from KNMI, ECMWF, and GFS places Amsterdam’s overnight minimum on August 29 near 15–17 °C under continued southwesterly flow. Persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and moderate winds of 6–8 m/s limit nocturnal radiative cooling while mild maritime air keeps dew points elevated around 14–16 °C. Official KNMI guidance currently favors a 15 °C floor, whereas some ensemble members allow brief clearing that could permit a dip to 16–17 °C or hold readings near 17 °C if showers arrive later. The tight spread in market-implied probabilities mirrors this narrow range of plausible outcomes driven by small differences in overnight cloud fraction and boundary-layer mixing. Updated high-resolution runs and the 00 UTC cycle will provide the next decisive data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$89结束日期
2026-08-29市场开放时间
Aug 27, 2026, 12:31 AM ETRecent model consensus from KNMI, ECMWF, and GFS places Amsterdam’s overnight minimum on August 29 near 15–17 °C under continued southwesterly flow. Persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and moderate winds of 6–8 m/s limit nocturnal radiative cooling while mild maritime air keeps dew points elevated around 14–16 °C. Official KNMI guidance currently favors a 15 °C floor, whereas some ensemble members allow brief clearing that could permit a dip to 16–17 °C or hold readings near 17 °C if showers arrive later. The tight spread in market-implied probabilities mirrors this narrow range of plausible outcomes driven by small differences in overnight cloud fraction and boundary-layer mixing. Updated high-resolution runs and the 00 UTC cycle will provide the next decisive data.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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