Latest Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts indicate persistent cloud cover and scattered showers over Tokyo on August 16, which suppress nighttime radiative cooling and hold the minimum temperature near the seasonal average of roughly 23–24°C. Model consensus and recent analogs support this outcome by limiting clear-sky heat loss under humid summer conditions typical of the Pacific high-pressure regime. Slightly cooler readings remain possible only with heavier overnight rain or brief clear spells, while warmer minima would require substantial cloud thinning not currently indicated. Traders have concentrated implied probability on 23°C as the most likely resolution based on these atmospheric factors and the proximity to final observational data.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月16日东京气温最低？
8月16日东京气温最低？
23°C 90%
24°C 8%
21°C 5%
22°C 2%
最新
最新
2026-08-16
18°C或以下
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
5%
22°C
8%
23°C
84%
24°C
9%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C或更高
<1%
23°C 90%
24°C 8%
21°C 5%
22°C 2%
最新
最新
2026-08-16
18°C或以下
$274 交易量
<1%
19°C
$224 交易量
<1%
20°C
$372 交易量
1%
21°C
$580 交易量
5%
22°C
$1,372 交易量
8%
23°C
$2,883 交易量
84%
24°C
$2,358 交易量
9%
25°C
$703 交易量
<1%
26°C
$249 交易量
<1%
27°C
$219 交易量
<1%
28°C或更高
$246 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts indicate persistent cloud cover and scattered showers over Tokyo on August 16, which suppress nighttime radiative cooling and hold the minimum temperature near the seasonal average of roughly 23–24°C. Model consensus and recent analogs support this outcome by limiting clear-sky heat loss under humid summer conditions typical of the Pacific high-pressure regime. Slightly cooler readings remain possible only with heavier overnight rain or brief clear spells, while warmer minima would require substantial cloud thinning not currently indicated. Traders have concentrated implied probability on 23°C as the most likely resolution based on these atmospheric factors and the proximity to final observational data.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 14, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
交易量
$9,479结束日期
2026-08-16市场开放时间
Aug 14, 2026, 12:28 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts indicate persistent cloud cover and scattered showers over Tokyo on August 16, which suppress nighttime radiative cooling and hold the minimum temperature near the seasonal average of roughly 23–24°C. Model consensus and recent analogs support this outcome by limiting clear-sky heat loss under humid summer conditions typical of the Pacific high-pressure regime. Slightly cooler readings remain possible only with heavier overnight rain or brief clear spells, while warmer minima would require substantial cloud thinning not currently indicated. Traders have concentrated implied probability on 23°C as the most likely resolution based on these atmospheric factors and the proximity to final observational data.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$9,479结束日期
2026-08-16市场开放时间
Aug 14, 2026, 12:28 AM ETLatest Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts indicate persistent cloud cover and scattered showers over Tokyo on August 16, which suppress nighttime radiative cooling and hold the minimum temperature near the seasonal average of roughly 23–24°C. Model consensus and recent analogs support this outcome by limiting clear-sky heat loss under humid summer conditions typical of the Pacific high-pressure regime. Slightly cooler readings remain possible only with heavier overnight rain or brief clear spells, while warmer minima would require substantial cloud thinning not currently indicated. Traders have concentrated implied probability on 23°C as the most likely resolution based on these atmospheric factors and the proximity to final observational data.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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