Democratic Representative Chris Pappas holds a consistent lead in recent University of New Hampshire and Emerson College polling against Republican frontrunners including former Senator John Sununu and Scott Brown in the open-seat New Hampshire Senate race. Incumbent Jeanne Shaheen’s retirement has created a competitive primary landscape on both sides ahead of the September 8 contests, yet general-election matchups show Pappas ahead by margins ranging from 7 to 14 points. These results align with the state’s modest Democratic lean and historical patterns favoring incumbency or established party figures in Senate contests. Traders appear to price in Pappas’s strong name recognition and fundraising edge, while viewing Republican prospects as dependent on primary outcomes and any shifts in the broader 2026 midterm environment.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$25,716 交易量
$25,716 交易量

民主党
79%

共和党
21%
$25,716 交易量
$25,716 交易量

民主党
79%

共和党
21%
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
市场开放时间: Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Democratic Representative Chris Pappas holds a consistent lead in recent University of New Hampshire and Emerson College polling against Republican frontrunners including former Senator John Sununu and Scott Brown in the open-seat New Hampshire Senate race. Incumbent Jeanne Shaheen’s retirement has created a competitive primary landscape on both sides ahead of the September 8 contests, yet general-election matchups show Pappas ahead by margins ranging from 7 to 14 points. These results align with the state’s modest Democratic lean and historical patterns favoring incumbency or established party figures in Senate contests. Traders appear to price in Pappas’s strong name recognition and fundraising edge, while viewing Republican prospects as dependent on primary outcomes and any shifts in the broader 2026 midterm environment.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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