The strong Democratic lean of California's 50th congressional district, combined with incumbent Rep. Scott Peters' established record and fundraising edge, underpins trader consensus favoring a Democratic victory. Multiple nonpartisan rating firms classify the race as solid or safe Democratic territory, reflecting voter registration advantages and consistent past margins exceeding 20 points. With the June 2 primary approaching, no Republican challenger has emerged with comparable resources or name recognition to shift momentum. Late developments such as a high-profile scandal, unexpected primary upset, or national political shift could still narrow the gap, though historical precedent in similarly tilted districts shows limited volatility once primaries conclude.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$32,807 交易量
$32,807 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
93%
共和党
8%
$32,807 交易量
$32,807 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
$17,619 交易量
93%
共和党
$15,188 交易量
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-50 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The strong Democratic lean of California's 50th congressional district, combined with incumbent Rep. Scott Peters' established record and fundraising edge, underpins trader consensus favoring a Democratic victory. Multiple nonpartisan rating firms classify the race as solid or safe Democratic territory, reflecting voter registration advantages and consistent past margins exceeding 20 points. With the June 2 primary approaching, no Republican challenger has emerged with comparable resources or name recognition to shift momentum. Late developments such as a high-profile scandal, unexpected primary upset, or national political shift could still narrow the gap, though historical precedent in similarly tilted districts shows limited volatility once primaries conclude.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-50 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
交易量
$32,807结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-50 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The strong Democratic lean of California's 50th congressional district, combined with incumbent Rep. Scott Peters' established record and fundraising edge, underpins trader consensus favoring a Democratic victory. Multiple nonpartisan rating firms classify the race as solid or safe Democratic territory, reflecting voter registration advantages and consistent past margins exceeding 20 points. With the June 2 primary approaching, no Republican challenger has emerged with comparable resources or name recognition to shift momentum. Late developments such as a high-profile scandal, unexpected primary upset, or national political shift could still narrow the gap, though historical precedent in similarly tilted districts shows limited volatility once primaries conclude.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-50 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$32,807结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The strong Democratic lean of California's 50th congressional district, combined with incumbent Rep. Scott Peters' established record and fundraising edge, underpins trader consensus favoring a Democratic victory. Multiple nonpartisan rating firms classify the race as solid or safe Democratic territory, reflecting voter registration advantages and consistent past margins exceeding 20 points. With the June 2 primary approaching, no Republican challenger has emerged with comparable resources or name recognition to shift momentum. Late developments such as a high-profile scandal, unexpected primary upset, or national political shift could still narrow the gap, though historical precedent in similarly tilted districts shows limited volatility once primaries conclude.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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