Incumbent Cliff Bentz holds a dominant position in Oregon's 2nd Congressional District ahead of the May 19 primary, reflecting the seat's consistent Republican voting patterns and his incumbency advantages in a sprawling rural district with a strong conservative tilt. The district's structural partisan edge, combined with Bentz's fundraising lead and name recognition, has produced reliable majorities in recent cycles, leaving Democratic primary contenders with limited paths to a general-election upset. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with historical outcomes and the absence of competitive polling. A weakened Republican nominee emerging from the three-way primary or an unusually strong national Democratic performance in November could narrow the margin, though such shifts would represent significant departures from established trends in the district.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
最新
2026-11-03
共和党
91%
民主党
8%
最新
最新
2026-11-03
共和党
$1,323 交易量
91%
民主党
$2,744 交易量
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Cliff Bentz holds a dominant position in Oregon's 2nd Congressional District ahead of the May 19 primary, reflecting the seat's consistent Republican voting patterns and his incumbency advantages in a sprawling rural district with a strong conservative tilt. The district's structural partisan edge, combined with Bentz's fundraising lead and name recognition, has produced reliable majorities in recent cycles, leaving Democratic primary contenders with limited paths to a general-election upset. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with historical outcomes and the absence of competitive polling. A weakened Republican nominee emerging from the three-way primary or an unusually strong national Democratic performance in November could narrow the margin, though such shifts would represent significant departures from established trends in the district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
交易量
$4,068结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Cliff Bentz holds a dominant position in Oregon's 2nd Congressional District ahead of the May 19 primary, reflecting the seat's consistent Republican voting patterns and his incumbency advantages in a sprawling rural district with a strong conservative tilt. The district's structural partisan edge, combined with Bentz's fundraising lead and name recognition, has produced reliable majorities in recent cycles, leaving Democratic primary contenders with limited paths to a general-election upset. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with historical outcomes and the absence of competitive polling. A weakened Republican nominee emerging from the three-way primary or an unusually strong national Democratic performance in November could narrow the margin, though such shifts would represent significant departures from established trends in the district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$4,068结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Cliff Bentz holds a dominant position in Oregon's 2nd Congressional District ahead of the May 19 primary, reflecting the seat's consistent Republican voting patterns and his incumbency advantages in a sprawling rural district with a strong conservative tilt. The district's structural partisan edge, combined with Bentz's fundraising lead and name recognition, has produced reliable majorities in recent cycles, leaving Democratic primary contenders with limited paths to a general-election upset. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with historical outcomes and the absence of competitive polling. A weakened Republican nominee emerging from the three-way primary or an unusually strong national Democratic performance in November could narrow the margin, though such shifts would represent significant departures from established trends in the district.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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