Incumbent Republican Cliff Bentz secured the nomination with nearly 80 percent in the May 2026 primary for Oregon’s 2nd Congressional District and now faces Democrat Chris Beck in the November 3 general election. The district’s R+14 partisan voting index and consistent Republican performance in recent cycles underpin trader consensus around a strong Republican outcome. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting limited Democratic infrastructure and fundraising in the eastern Oregon district. With no major developments since the primaries and the incumbent’s established base, market pricing reflects the structural barriers for a Democratic flip. Late national shifts, unexpected scandals, or unusually high Democratic turnout in a midterm environment remain the primary factors that could narrow the margin.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
最新
2026-11-02
共和党
95%
民主党
6%
最新
最新
2026-11-02
共和党
$4,187 交易量
95%
民主党
$4,650 交易量
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Cliff Bentz secured the nomination with nearly 80 percent in the May 2026 primary for Oregon’s 2nd Congressional District and now faces Democrat Chris Beck in the November 3 general election. The district’s R+14 partisan voting index and consistent Republican performance in recent cycles underpin trader consensus around a strong Republican outcome. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting limited Democratic infrastructure and fundraising in the eastern Oregon district. With no major developments since the primaries and the incumbent’s established base, market pricing reflects the structural barriers for a Democratic flip. Late national shifts, unexpected scandals, or unusually high Democratic turnout in a midterm environment remain the primary factors that could narrow the margin.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
交易量
$8,837结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Cliff Bentz secured the nomination with nearly 80 percent in the May 2026 primary for Oregon’s 2nd Congressional District and now faces Democrat Chris Beck in the November 3 general election. The district’s R+14 partisan voting index and consistent Republican performance in recent cycles underpin trader consensus around a strong Republican outcome. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting limited Democratic infrastructure and fundraising in the eastern Oregon district. With no major developments since the primaries and the incumbent’s established base, market pricing reflects the structural barriers for a Democratic flip. Late national shifts, unexpected scandals, or unusually high Democratic turnout in a midterm environment remain the primary factors that could narrow the margin.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$8,837结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Cliff Bentz secured the nomination with nearly 80 percent in the May 2026 primary for Oregon’s 2nd Congressional District and now faces Democrat Chris Beck in the November 3 general election. The district’s R+14 partisan voting index and consistent Republican performance in recent cycles underpin trader consensus around a strong Republican outcome. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting limited Democratic infrastructure and fundraising in the eastern Oregon district. With no major developments since the primaries and the incumbent’s established base, market pricing reflects the structural barriers for a Democratic flip. Late national shifts, unexpected scandals, or unusually high Democratic turnout in a midterm environment remain the primary factors that could narrow the margin.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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