Incumbent Republican Cliff Bentz secured renomination with roughly 80 percent in the May 2026 primary and faces Democrat Chris Beck in the November general election for Oregon's 2nd congressional district. The vast rural district east of the Cascades maintains a strong Republican lean, reflected in consistent "Solid Republican" or "Safe Republican" ratings from forecasters. Bentz's substantial fundraising edge and prior 2024 margin further anchor trader consensus near 94.5 percent for the Republican nominee. Limited recent developments have altered this positioning, as no competitive polling or major campaign shifts have emerged since the primaries. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include a late-breaking scandal, significant health event affecting the incumbent, or an unusually strong national Democratic performance that boosts turnout in the district's more moderate pockets.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
最新
2026-11-02
共和党
95%
民主党
6%
最新
最新
2026-11-02
共和党
$4,187 交易量
95%
民主党
$4,650 交易量
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Cliff Bentz secured renomination with roughly 80 percent in the May 2026 primary and faces Democrat Chris Beck in the November general election for Oregon's 2nd congressional district. The vast rural district east of the Cascades maintains a strong Republican lean, reflected in consistent "Solid Republican" or "Safe Republican" ratings from forecasters. Bentz's substantial fundraising edge and prior 2024 margin further anchor trader consensus near 94.5 percent for the Republican nominee. Limited recent developments have altered this positioning, as no competitive polling or major campaign shifts have emerged since the primaries. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include a late-breaking scandal, significant health event affecting the incumbent, or an unusually strong national Democratic performance that boosts turnout in the district's more moderate pockets.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
交易量
$8,837结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Cliff Bentz secured renomination with roughly 80 percent in the May 2026 primary and faces Democrat Chris Beck in the November general election for Oregon's 2nd congressional district. The vast rural district east of the Cascades maintains a strong Republican lean, reflected in consistent "Solid Republican" or "Safe Republican" ratings from forecasters. Bentz's substantial fundraising edge and prior 2024 margin further anchor trader consensus near 94.5 percent for the Republican nominee. Limited recent developments have altered this positioning, as no competitive polling or major campaign shifts have emerged since the primaries. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include a late-breaking scandal, significant health event affecting the incumbent, or an unusually strong national Democratic performance that boosts turnout in the district's more moderate pockets.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$8,837结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Cliff Bentz secured renomination with roughly 80 percent in the May 2026 primary and faces Democrat Chris Beck in the November general election for Oregon's 2nd congressional district. The vast rural district east of the Cascades maintains a strong Republican lean, reflected in consistent "Solid Republican" or "Safe Republican" ratings from forecasters. Bentz's substantial fundraising edge and prior 2024 margin further anchor trader consensus near 94.5 percent for the Republican nominee. Limited recent developments have altered this positioning, as no competitive polling or major campaign shifts have emerged since the primaries. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include a late-breaking scandal, significant health event affecting the incumbent, or an unusually strong national Democratic performance that boosts turnout in the district's more moderate pockets.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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