Incumbent Republican Scott Fitzgerald faces Democrat Andrew Beck in Wisconsin’s 5th congressional district on November 3, 2026. The district’s R+11 Partisan Voter Index and 14.5-point Trump margin in 2024 underpin the Republican advantage, reinforced by Fitzgerald’s reelection history and unopposed primary advancement alongside Beck. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican, with models projecting a roughly 30-point GOP margin based on fundamentals and limited polling. Trader consensus reflected in current odds aligns with these structural factors, though late-cycle national shifts, turnout surges, or candidate-specific developments could narrow the gap before Election Day.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$54,801 交易量
$54,801 交易量
2026-11-02
共和党
94%
民主党
6%
$54,801 交易量
$54,801 交易量
2026-11-02
共和党
$30,539 交易量
94%
民主党
$24,262 交易量
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Scott Fitzgerald faces Democrat Andrew Beck in Wisconsin’s 5th congressional district on November 3, 2026. The district’s R+11 Partisan Voter Index and 14.5-point Trump margin in 2024 underpin the Republican advantage, reinforced by Fitzgerald’s reelection history and unopposed primary advancement alongside Beck. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican, with models projecting a roughly 30-point GOP margin based on fundamentals and limited polling. Trader consensus reflected in current odds aligns with these structural factors, though late-cycle national shifts, turnout surges, or candidate-specific developments could narrow the gap before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
交易量
$54,801结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Scott Fitzgerald faces Democrat Andrew Beck in Wisconsin’s 5th congressional district on November 3, 2026. The district’s R+11 Partisan Voter Index and 14.5-point Trump margin in 2024 underpin the Republican advantage, reinforced by Fitzgerald’s reelection history and unopposed primary advancement alongside Beck. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican, with models projecting a roughly 30-point GOP margin based on fundamentals and limited polling. Trader consensus reflected in current odds aligns with these structural factors, though late-cycle national shifts, turnout surges, or candidate-specific developments could narrow the gap before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$54,801结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETIncumbent Republican Scott Fitzgerald faces Democrat Andrew Beck in Wisconsin’s 5th congressional district on November 3, 2026. The district’s R+11 Partisan Voter Index and 14.5-point Trump margin in 2024 underpin the Republican advantage, reinforced by Fitzgerald’s reelection history and unopposed primary advancement alongside Beck. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican, with models projecting a roughly 30-point GOP margin based on fundamentals and limited polling. Trader consensus reflected in current odds aligns with these structural factors, though late-cycle national shifts, turnout surges, or candidate-specific developments could narrow the gap before Election Day.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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