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Politics·Primaries

Florida Governor Democratic Primary Winner

icon for Florida Governor Democratic Primary Winner
Politics·Primaries

Florida Governor Democratic Primary Winner

David Jolly 80%

Jerry Demings 15.4%

Shevrin Jones <1%

Jason Pizzo <1%

Polymarket

$20,849 Vol.

David Jolly 80%

Jerry Demings 15.4%

Shevrin Jones <1%

Jason Pizzo <1%

Polymarket

$20,849 Vol.

David Jolly

$6,921 Vol.

80%

Jerry Demings

$2,446 Vol.

15%

Shevrin Jones

$1,592 Vol.

<1%

Jason Pizzo

$1,291 Vol.

<1%

Daniella Levine Cava

$1,427 Vol.

<1%

Angie Nixon

$4,773 Vol.

<1%

Fentrice Driskell

$1,223 Vol.

<1%

Gwen Graham

$1,176 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Florida, scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. If no 2026 Florida Democratic Gubernatorial Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Florida Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.David Jolly’s early entry into the race last June and substantial fundraising advantage have established him as the clear frontrunner in the Democratic primary for Florida governor. Through the first quarter of 2026 Jolly raised roughly five times more than Orange County Mayor Jerry Demings, reaching a total of $5 million, while recent Democratic special-election gains further accelerated his contributions. Polling among likely Democratic voters shows Jolly ahead of Demings by double digits, though a majority remain undecided. Demings, who launched later and recently changed campaign managers, trails in both resources and early support. These factors explain the current market consensus reflected in the 79.5 percent probability assigned to Jolly.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Florida, scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026.

If no 2026 Florida Democratic Gubernatorial Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Florida Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$20,849
End Date
Aug 18, 2026
Market Opened
Nov 25, 2025, 5:35 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Florida, scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. If no 2026 Florida Democratic Gubernatorial Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Florida Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Florida, scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. If no 2026 Florida Democratic Gubernatorial Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Florida Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.David Jolly’s early entry into the race last June and substantial fundraising advantage have established him as the clear frontrunner in the Democratic primary for Florida governor. Through the first quarter of 2026 Jolly raised roughly five times more than Orange County Mayor Jerry Demings, reaching a total of $5 million, while recent Democratic special-election gains further accelerated his contributions. Polling among likely Democratic voters shows Jolly ahead of Demings by double digits, though a majority remain undecided. Demings, who launched later and recently changed campaign managers, trails in both resources and early support. These factors explain the current market consensus reflected in the 79.5 percent probability assigned to Jolly.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Florida, scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026.

If no 2026 Florida Democratic Gubernatorial Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Florida Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$20,849
End Date
Aug 18, 2026
Market Opened
Nov 25, 2025, 5:35 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Florida, scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. If no 2026 Florida Democratic Gubernatorial Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Florida Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Florida Governor Democratic Primary Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 8 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "David Jolly" at 80%, followed by "Jerry Demings" at 15%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 80¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 80% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Florida Governor Democratic Primary Winner" has generated $20.8K in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 25, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Florida Governor Democratic Primary Winner," browse the 8 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Florida Governor Democratic Primary Winner" is "David Jolly" at 80%, meaning the market assigns a 80% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Jerry Demings" at 15%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Florida Governor Democratic Primary Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.