Trump's established pattern of high-volume Truth Social activity underpins the 58% trader consensus for 200-plus posts during the May 15-22 window. Historical data shows daily averages near 18 posts, with roughly one-third occurring overnight, a pace sustained through recent weeks amid ongoing executive actions, diplomatic exchanges such as the Trump-Xi summit, and responses to domestic developments. This volume aligns with the president's use of the platform for direct commentary, reposts, and real-time reactions, creating a baseline expectation that the current seven-day period will exceed prior weekly totals. Lower-probability ranges reflect scenarios of moderated output during quieter stretches, though scheduled events within the resolution window continue to support elevated activity levels.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedDonald Trump # Truth Social posts May 15 - May 22, 2026?
Donald Trump # Truth Social posts May 15 - May 22, 2026?
200+ 58%
180-199 14.3%
140-159 13%
160-179 12%
$22,795 Vol.
$22,795 Vol.
May 22, 2026
60-79
<1%
80-99
<1%
100-119
3%
120-139
7%
140-159
16%
160-179
20%
180-199
14%
200+
61%
200+ 58%
180-199 14.3%
140-159 13%
160-179 12%
$22,795 Vol.
$22,795 Vol.
May 22, 2026
60-79
$2,317 Vol.
<1%
80-99
$4,871 Vol.
<1%
100-119
$1,269 Vol.
3%
120-139
$1,104 Vol.
7%
140-159
$483 Vol.
16%
160-179
$352 Vol.
20%
180-199
$585 Vol.
14%
200+
$941 Vol.
61%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between May 15, 12:00 PM ET and May 22, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trump's established pattern of high-volume Truth Social activity underpins the 58% trader consensus for 200-plus posts during the May 15-22 window. Historical data shows daily averages near 18 posts, with roughly one-third occurring overnight, a pace sustained through recent weeks amid ongoing executive actions, diplomatic exchanges such as the Trump-Xi summit, and responses to domestic developments. This volume aligns with the president's use of the platform for direct commentary, reposts, and real-time reactions, creating a baseline expectation that the current seven-day period will exceed prior weekly totals. Lower-probability ranges reflect scenarios of moderated output during quieter stretches, though scheduled events within the resolution window continue to support elevated activity levels.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between May 15, 12:00 PM ET and May 22, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Market Opened: May 12, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Volume
$22,795End Date
May 22, 2026Market Opened
May 12, 2026, 12:01 AM ETResolution Source
https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrumpResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between May 15, 12:00 PM ET and May 22, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trump's established pattern of high-volume Truth Social activity underpins the 58% trader consensus for 200-plus posts during the May 15-22 window. Historical data shows daily averages near 18 posts, with roughly one-third occurring overnight, a pace sustained through recent weeks amid ongoing executive actions, diplomatic exchanges such as the Trump-Xi summit, and responses to domestic developments. This volume aligns with the president's use of the platform for direct commentary, reposts, and real-time reactions, creating a baseline expectation that the current seven-day period will exceed prior weekly totals. Lower-probability ranges reflect scenarios of moderated output during quieter stretches, though scheduled events within the resolution window continue to support elevated activity levels.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between May 15, 12:00 PM ET and May 22, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$22,795End Date
May 22, 2026Market Opened
May 12, 2026, 12:01 AM ETResolution Source
https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrumpResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trump's established pattern of high-volume Truth Social activity underpins the 58% trader consensus for 200-plus posts during the May 15-22 window. Historical data shows daily averages near 18 posts, with roughly one-third occurring overnight, a pace sustained through recent weeks amid ongoing executive actions, diplomatic exchanges such as the Trump-Xi summit, and responses to domestic developments. This volume aligns with the president's use of the platform for direct commentary, reposts, and real-time reactions, creating a baseline expectation that the current seven-day period will exceed prior weekly totals. Lower-probability ranges reflect scenarios of moderated output during quieter stretches, though scheduled events within the resolution window continue to support elevated activity levels.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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