Donald Trump's sustained high-frequency posting on Truth Social over the past week has anchored trader consensus around the 180-199 range as the dominant outcome. His established pattern of issuing multiple daily updates on policy priorities, legislative developments, and public statements has produced daily volumes typically exceeding 20 posts, consistent with activity levels observed during comparable periods of active political engagement. Key drivers include ongoing commentary on domestic issues and international relations without major disruptions from travel or platform issues. Scenarios that could still alter the tally involve sudden schedule shifts from official duties, technical outages, or rapid changes in the news cycle that reduce the volume of timely statements.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated180-199 100.0%
200+ <1%
<20 <1%
20-39 <1%
$624,125 Vol.
$624,125 Vol.
May 15, 2026
<20
No
20-39
No
40-59
No
60-79
No
80-99
No
100-119
No
120-139
No
140-159
No
160-179
No
180-199
Yes
200+
No
180-199 100.0%
200+ <1%
<20 <1%
20-39 <1%
$624,125 Vol.
$624,125 Vol.
May 15, 2026
<20
$23,246 Vol.
No
20-39
$7,712 Vol.
No
40-59
$18,238 Vol.
No
60-79
$34,591 Vol.
No
80-99
$34,255 Vol.
No
100-119
$18,330 Vol.
No
120-139
$22,336 Vol.
No
140-159
$48,318 Vol.
No
160-179
$259,199 Vol.
No
180-199
$87,994 Vol.
Yes
200+
$69,904 Vol.
No
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between May 8, 12:00 PM ET and May 15, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Donald Trump's sustained high-frequency posting on Truth Social over the past week has anchored trader consensus around the 180-199 range as the dominant outcome. His established pattern of issuing multiple daily updates on policy priorities, legislative developments, and public statements has produced daily volumes typically exceeding 20 posts, consistent with activity levels observed during comparable periods of active political engagement. Key drivers include ongoing commentary on domestic issues and international relations without major disruptions from travel or platform issues. Scenarios that could still alter the tally involve sudden schedule shifts from official duties, technical outages, or rapid changes in the news cycle that reduce the volume of timely statements.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between May 8, 12:00 PM ET and May 15, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Market Opened: May 5, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Volume
$624,125End Date
May 15, 2026Market Opened
May 5, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolution Source
https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrumpResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between May 8, 12:00 PM ET and May 15, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Donald Trump's sustained high-frequency posting on Truth Social over the past week has anchored trader consensus around the 180-199 range as the dominant outcome. His established pattern of issuing multiple daily updates on policy priorities, legislative developments, and public statements has produced daily volumes typically exceeding 20 posts, consistent with activity levels observed during comparable periods of active political engagement. Key drivers include ongoing commentary on domestic issues and international relations without major disruptions from travel or platform issues. Scenarios that could still alter the tally involve sudden schedule shifts from official duties, technical outages, or rapid changes in the news cycle that reduce the volume of timely statements.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between May 8, 12:00 PM ET and May 15, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$624,125End Date
May 15, 2026Market Opened
May 5, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolution Source
https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrumpResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
Donald Trump's sustained high-frequency posting on Truth Social over the past week has anchored trader consensus around the 180-199 range as the dominant outcome. His established pattern of issuing multiple daily updates on policy priorities, legislative developments, and public statements has produced daily volumes typically exceeding 20 posts, consistent with activity levels observed during comparable periods of active political engagement. Key drivers include ongoing commentary on domestic issues and international relations without major disruptions from travel or platform issues. Scenarios that could still alter the tally involve sudden schedule shifts from official duties, technical outages, or rapid changes in the news cycle that reduce the volume of timely statements.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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