Latest numerical weather prediction models and official guidance from sources including the Turkish State Meteorological Service point to a peak temperature near 33°C in Ankara on August 26 under high-pressure dominance, clear skies, and light winds that favor strong daytime radiative heating. Ankara’s late-August climatology features declining highs averaging 31–32°C, with recent days showing variability—such as the 35°C reading on August 22—before a modest cooling trend stabilized conditions. Low humidity and minimal cloud cover enhance surface warming, while light northeasterly flow limits advection of cooler air. Market-implied odds clustering on 32–33°C reflect trader consensus aligning with ensemble forecasts showing limited upside potential beyond 34°C and low risk of falling to 31°C or below, given persistent anticyclonic setup through the 24-hour period ending at local midnight.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Ankara on August 26?
Highest temperature in Ankara on August 26?
33°C 56%
32°C 32%
34°C 11%
31°C 5%
NEW
NEW
Aug 26, 2026
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
5%
32°C
32%
33°C
56%
34°C
11%
35°C
2%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
33°C 56%
32°C 32%
34°C 11%
31°C 5%
NEW
NEW
Aug 26, 2026
28°C or below
$249 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$112 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$163 Vol.
1%
31°C
$362 Vol.
5%
32°C
$1,041 Vol.
32%
33°C
$849 Vol.
56%
34°C
$463 Vol.
11%
35°C
$263 Vol.
2%
36°C
$10 Vol.
<1%
37°C
$230 Vol.
<1%
38°C or higher
$215 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction models and official guidance from sources including the Turkish State Meteorological Service point to a peak temperature near 33°C in Ankara on August 26 under high-pressure dominance, clear skies, and light winds that favor strong daytime radiative heating. Ankara’s late-August climatology features declining highs averaging 31–32°C, with recent days showing variability—such as the 35°C reading on August 22—before a modest cooling trend stabilized conditions. Low humidity and minimal cloud cover enhance surface warming, while light northeasterly flow limits advection of cooler air. Market-implied odds clustering on 32–33°C reflect trader consensus aligning with ensemble forecasts showing limited upside potential beyond 34°C and low risk of falling to 31°C or below, given persistent anticyclonic setup through the 24-hour period ending at local midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$3,959End Date
Aug 26, 2026Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction models and official guidance from sources including the Turkish State Meteorological Service point to a peak temperature near 33°C in Ankara on August 26 under high-pressure dominance, clear skies, and light winds that favor strong daytime radiative heating. Ankara’s late-August climatology features declining highs averaging 31–32°C, with recent days showing variability—such as the 35°C reading on August 22—before a modest cooling trend stabilized conditions. Low humidity and minimal cloud cover enhance surface warming, while light northeasterly flow limits advection of cooler air. Market-implied odds clustering on 32–33°C reflect trader consensus aligning with ensemble forecasts showing limited upside potential beyond 34°C and low risk of falling to 31°C or below, given persistent anticyclonic setup through the 24-hour period ending at local midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,959End Date
Aug 26, 2026Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest numerical weather prediction models and official guidance from sources including the Turkish State Meteorological Service point to a peak temperature near 33°C in Ankara on August 26 under high-pressure dominance, clear skies, and light winds that favor strong daytime radiative heating. Ankara’s late-August climatology features declining highs averaging 31–32°C, with recent days showing variability—such as the 35°C reading on August 22—before a modest cooling trend stabilized conditions. Low humidity and minimal cloud cover enhance surface warming, while light northeasterly flow limits advection of cooler air. Market-implied odds clustering on 32–33°C reflect trader consensus aligning with ensemble forecasts showing limited upside potential beyond 34°C and low risk of falling to 31°C or below, given persistent anticyclonic setup through the 24-hour period ending at local midnight.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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