**Trader consensus heavily favors 33°C as the highest temperature in Ankara on September 13, 2026, at 99.8% implied probability.** Multiple official and model forecasts, including from sources like Yr.no, align on a daily maximum of 33°C under stable high-pressure conditions, clear to mostly clear skies, light westerly winds, and negligible precipitation chances. Afternoon observations have already approached or reached this level amid dry, sunny weather typical for the region in mid-September, with low humidity supporting efficient daytime heating. This positioning reflects aggregated model consensus and real-time data showing limited variability. A realistic challenge could arise only from minor discrepancies in official recording stations, unexpected late-day cloud cover, or localized wind shifts that cap or slightly elevate the measured peak beyond the narrow 33°C threshold.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Ankara on September 13?
Highest temperature in Ankara on September 13?
33°C 100.0%
34°C <1%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
$30,249 Vol.
$30,249 Vol.
Sep 13, 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
100%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
33°C 100.0%
34°C <1%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
$30,249 Vol.
$30,249 Vol.
Sep 13, 2026
27°C or below
$847 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$805 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$947 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$1,126 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$3,225 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$8,524 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$6,665 Vol.
100%
34°C
$4,620 Vol.
<1%
35°C
$1,799 Vol.
<1%
36°C
$587 Vol.
<1%
37°C or higher
$1,105 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus heavily favors 33°C as the highest temperature in Ankara on September 13, 2026, at 99.8% implied probability.** Multiple official and model forecasts, including from sources like Yr.no, align on a daily maximum of 33°C under stable high-pressure conditions, clear to mostly clear skies, light westerly winds, and negligible precipitation chances. Afternoon observations have already approached or reached this level amid dry, sunny weather typical for the region in mid-September, with low humidity supporting efficient daytime heating. This positioning reflects aggregated model consensus and real-time data showing limited variability. A realistic challenge could arise only from minor discrepancies in official recording stations, unexpected late-day cloud cover, or localized wind shifts that cap or slightly elevate the measured peak beyond the narrow 33°C threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 11, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$30,249End Date
Sep 13, 2026Market Opened
Sep 11, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus heavily favors 33°C as the highest temperature in Ankara on September 13, 2026, at 99.8% implied probability.** Multiple official and model forecasts, including from sources like Yr.no, align on a daily maximum of 33°C under stable high-pressure conditions, clear to mostly clear skies, light westerly winds, and negligible precipitation chances. Afternoon observations have already approached or reached this level amid dry, sunny weather typical for the region in mid-September, with low humidity supporting efficient daytime heating. This positioning reflects aggregated model consensus and real-time data showing limited variability. A realistic challenge could arise only from minor discrepancies in official recording stations, unexpected late-day cloud cover, or localized wind shifts that cap or slightly elevate the measured peak beyond the narrow 33°C threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$30,249End Date
Sep 13, 2026Market Opened
Sep 11, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus heavily favors 33°C as the highest temperature in Ankara on September 13, 2026, at 99.8% implied probability.** Multiple official and model forecasts, including from sources like Yr.no, align on a daily maximum of 33°C under stable high-pressure conditions, clear to mostly clear skies, light westerly winds, and negligible precipitation chances. Afternoon observations have already approached or reached this level amid dry, sunny weather typical for the region in mid-September, with low humidity supporting efficient daytime heating. This positioning reflects aggregated model consensus and real-time data showing limited variability. A realistic challenge could arise only from minor discrepancies in official recording stations, unexpected late-day cloud cover, or localized wind shifts that cap or slightly elevate the measured peak beyond the narrow 33°C threshold.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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