Current forecasts from Argentina’s National Meteorological Service indicate a maximum temperature of 14 °C in Buenos Aires on May 17, anchoring the overwhelming trader consensus at 99.4 % implied probability. Stable high-pressure conditions and clear skies have suppressed warming during the austral autumn, aligning closely with long-term May climatology of 13–15 °C. Ensemble model runs show minimal spread, with only modest afternoon variability expected from localized urban effects. A late revision in observed readings or an unexpected warm advection could still shift the outcome toward 15 °C, though such adjustments appear improbable before the daily maximum is recorded.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Buenos Aires on May 17?
Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on May 17?
14°C 99.4%
15°C 2.6%
16°C <1%
9°C or below <1%
$35,405 Vol.
$35,405 Vol.
May 17, 2026
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
99%
15°C
3%
16°C
1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C or higher
<1%
14°C 99.4%
15°C 2.6%
16°C <1%
9°C or below <1%
$35,405 Vol.
$35,405 Vol.
May 17, 2026
9°C or below
$1,400 Vol.
<1%
10°C
$1,712 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$1,422 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$2,938 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$4,156 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$6,055 Vol.
99%
15°C
$3,357 Vol.
3%
16°C
$5,020 Vol.
1%
17°C
$3,869 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$2,008 Vol.
<1%
19°C or higher
$3,668 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecasts from Argentina’s National Meteorological Service indicate a maximum temperature of 14 °C in Buenos Aires on May 17, anchoring the overwhelming trader consensus at 99.4 % implied probability. Stable high-pressure conditions and clear skies have suppressed warming during the austral autumn, aligning closely with long-term May climatology of 13–15 °C. Ensemble model runs show minimal spread, with only modest afternoon variability expected from localized urban effects. A late revision in observed readings or an unexpected warm advection could still shift the outcome toward 15 °C, though such adjustments appear improbable before the daily maximum is recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$35,405End Date
May 17, 2026Market Opened
May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecasts from Argentina’s National Meteorological Service indicate a maximum temperature of 14 °C in Buenos Aires on May 17, anchoring the overwhelming trader consensus at 99.4 % implied probability. Stable high-pressure conditions and clear skies have suppressed warming during the austral autumn, aligning closely with long-term May climatology of 13–15 °C. Ensemble model runs show minimal spread, with only modest afternoon variability expected from localized urban effects. A late revision in observed readings or an unexpected warm advection could still shift the outcome toward 15 °C, though such adjustments appear improbable before the daily maximum is recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$35,405End Date
May 17, 2026Market Opened
May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZCurrent forecasts from Argentina’s National Meteorological Service indicate a maximum temperature of 14 °C in Buenos Aires on May 17, anchoring the overwhelming trader consensus at 99.4 % implied probability. Stable high-pressure conditions and clear skies have suppressed warming during the austral autumn, aligning closely with long-term May climatology of 13–15 °C. Ensemble model runs show minimal spread, with only modest afternoon variability expected from localized urban effects. A late revision in observed readings or an unexpected warm advection could still shift the outcome toward 15 °C, though such adjustments appear improbable before the daily maximum is recorded.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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