Official Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) observations at Busan and Gimhae stations confirm a midday peak of 26°C on May 14, fueled by high-pressure subsidence, clear skies, and peak solar insolation following morning lows near 15°C. This steady diurnal warming under a persistent upper-level ridge—deviating above May's climatological average of 22–24°C—has locked in trader consensus, with hourly data showing temperatures now stabilizing or cooling into evening. Model consensus from KMA short-range forecasts underestimated the warmth due to unanticipated low cloud cover, but current soundings indicate no further intensification. A realistic challenge would require an anomalous sea-breeze reversal driving late-afternoon heating, though upper-air patterns make this improbable; final KMA daily maximum report expected post-midnight.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Busan on May 14?
Highest temperature in Busan on May 14?
26°C 100.0%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$52,671 Vol.
$52,671 Vol.
May 14, 2026
18°C or below
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
Yes
27°C
No
28°C or higher
No
26°C 100.0%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$52,671 Vol.
$52,671 Vol.
May 14, 2026
18°C or below
$3,935 Vol.
No
19°C
$3,638 Vol.
No
20°C
$2,121 Vol.
No
21°C
$1,541 Vol.
No
22°C
$2,350 Vol.
No
23°C
$3,598 Vol.
No
24°C
$5,553 Vol.
No
25°C
$3,626 Vol.
No
26°C
$7,930 Vol.
Yes
27°C
$10,162 Vol.
No
28°C or higher
$8,217 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) observations at Busan and Gimhae stations confirm a midday peak of 26°C on May 14, fueled by high-pressure subsidence, clear skies, and peak solar insolation following morning lows near 15°C. This steady diurnal warming under a persistent upper-level ridge—deviating above May's climatological average of 22–24°C—has locked in trader consensus, with hourly data showing temperatures now stabilizing or cooling into evening. Model consensus from KMA short-range forecasts underestimated the warmth due to unanticipated low cloud cover, but current soundings indicate no further intensification. A realistic challenge would require an anomalous sea-breeze reversal driving late-afternoon heating, though upper-air patterns make this improbable; final KMA daily maximum report expected post-midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 12, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
Volume
$52,671End Date
May 14, 2026Market Opened
May 12, 2026, 12:08 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) observations at Busan and Gimhae stations confirm a midday peak of 26°C on May 14, fueled by high-pressure subsidence, clear skies, and peak solar insolation following morning lows near 15°C. This steady diurnal warming under a persistent upper-level ridge—deviating above May's climatological average of 22–24°C—has locked in trader consensus, with hourly data showing temperatures now stabilizing or cooling into evening. Model consensus from KMA short-range forecasts underestimated the warmth due to unanticipated low cloud cover, but current soundings indicate no further intensification. A realistic challenge would require an anomalous sea-breeze reversal driving late-afternoon heating, though upper-air patterns make this improbable; final KMA daily maximum report expected post-midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$52,671End Date
May 14, 2026Market Opened
May 12, 2026, 12:08 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
Official Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) observations at Busan and Gimhae stations confirm a midday peak of 26°C on May 14, fueled by high-pressure subsidence, clear skies, and peak solar insolation following morning lows near 15°C. This steady diurnal warming under a persistent upper-level ridge—deviating above May's climatological average of 22–24°C—has locked in trader consensus, with hourly data showing temperatures now stabilizing or cooling into evening. Model consensus from KMA short-range forecasts underestimated the warmth due to unanticipated low cloud cover, but current soundings indicate no further intensification. A realistic challenge would require an anomalous sea-breeze reversal driving late-afternoon heating, though upper-air patterns make this improbable; final KMA daily maximum report expected post-midnight.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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