Trader consensus on Polymarket prices 25°C at 34% and 24°C at 29% for Busan's highest temperature on May 14, reflecting tight uncertainty in forecast models amid clear skies and a building high-pressure ridge over the Korean Peninsula. AccuWeather's latest run projects a 24°C high with RealFeel nearing 27°C under mostly sunny conditions and light ENE winds at 12 mph, while timeanddate.com and Weather Channel ensembles cluster at 22-23°C, moderated by Busan's coastal sea breeze that historically caps mid-May peaks around 22-23°C. Recent observations—May 13 mid-day temps hitting 24°C despite a 22°C forecast—have boosted optimism for 25-26°C if full diurnal heating occurs without haze or marine layer intrusion; key differentiator is afternoon cloud timing, with KMA hourly updates expected this evening potentially resolving the 1°C spread.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Busan on May 14?
Highest temperature in Busan on May 14?
25°C 39%
24°C 28%
26°C 26.2%
27°C 10.4%
NEW
$16,394 Vol.
NEW
$16,394 Vol.
May 14, 2026
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
6%
24°C
28%
25°C
39%
26°C
26%
27°C
10%
28°C or higher
3%
25°C 39%
24°C 28%
26°C 26.2%
27°C 10.4%
NEW
$16,394 Vol.
NEW
$16,394 Vol.
May 14, 2026
18°C or below
$3,479 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$2,883 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$1,419 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$1,365 Vol.
1%
22°C
$1,374 Vol.
1%
23°C
$1,266 Vol.
6%
24°C
$364 Vol.
28%
25°C
$965 Vol.
39%
26°C
$1,077 Vol.
26%
27°C
$1,047 Vol.
10%
28°C or higher
$1,156 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices 25°C at 34% and 24°C at 29% for Busan's highest temperature on May 14, reflecting tight uncertainty in forecast models amid clear skies and a building high-pressure ridge over the Korean Peninsula. AccuWeather's latest run projects a 24°C high with RealFeel nearing 27°C under mostly sunny conditions and light ENE winds at 12 mph, while timeanddate.com and Weather Channel ensembles cluster at 22-23°C, moderated by Busan's coastal sea breeze that historically caps mid-May peaks around 22-23°C. Recent observations—May 13 mid-day temps hitting 24°C despite a 22°C forecast—have boosted optimism for 25-26°C if full diurnal heating occurs without haze or marine layer intrusion; key differentiator is afternoon cloud timing, with KMA hourly updates expected this evening potentially resolving the 1°C spread.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 12, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
Volume
$16,394End Date
May 14, 2026Market Opened
May 12, 2026, 12:08 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices 25°C at 34% and 24°C at 29% for Busan's highest temperature on May 14, reflecting tight uncertainty in forecast models amid clear skies and a building high-pressure ridge over the Korean Peninsula. AccuWeather's latest run projects a 24°C high with RealFeel nearing 27°C under mostly sunny conditions and light ENE winds at 12 mph, while timeanddate.com and Weather Channel ensembles cluster at 22-23°C, moderated by Busan's coastal sea breeze that historically caps mid-May peaks around 22-23°C. Recent observations—May 13 mid-day temps hitting 24°C despite a 22°C forecast—have boosted optimism for 25-26°C if full diurnal heating occurs without haze or marine layer intrusion; key differentiator is afternoon cloud timing, with KMA hourly updates expected this evening potentially resolving the 1°C spread.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$16,394End Date
May 14, 2026Market Opened
May 12, 2026, 12:08 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices 25°C at 34% and 24°C at 29% for Busan's highest temperature on May 14, reflecting tight uncertainty in forecast models amid clear skies and a building high-pressure ridge over the Korean Peninsula. AccuWeather's latest run projects a 24°C high with RealFeel nearing 27°C under mostly sunny conditions and light ENE winds at 12 mph, while timeanddate.com and Weather Channel ensembles cluster at 22-23°C, moderated by Busan's coastal sea breeze that historically caps mid-May peaks around 22-23°C. Recent observations—May 13 mid-day temps hitting 24°C despite a 22°C forecast—have boosted optimism for 25-26°C if full diurnal heating occurs without haze or marine layer intrusion; key differentiator is afternoon cloud timing, with KMA hourly updates expected this evening potentially resolving the 1°C spread.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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