Official meteorological observations from the Hong Kong Observatory confirm that the maximum air temperature on May 15 reached exactly 27°C at the primary headquarters station, anchoring trader consensus at near-certainty for this outcome. This reading aligns with standard surface observations under prevailing subtropical conditions, including light southerly flow and sufficient cloud cover that limited daytime heating below seasonal norms for early May. Such data follow rigorous quality controls and represent the authoritative benchmark for market resolution. While revisions to official records are uncommon, scenarios that could still shift positioning include late corrections from auxiliary stations or refined urban-heat adjustments exceeding 1°C, though historical precedent shows these adjustments rarely alter the daily high enough to change the resolved category.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Hong Kong on May 15?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on May 15?
27°C 100.0%
26°C <1%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
$290,861 Vol.
$290,861 Vol.
May 15, 2026
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
100%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
27°C 100.0%
26°C <1%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
$290,861 Vol.
$290,861 Vol.
May 15, 2026
19°C or below
$3,583 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$2,551 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$3,480 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$3,250 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$3,799 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$5,477 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$30,336 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$69,250 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$87,914 Vol.
100%
28°C
$45,393 Vol.
<1%
29°C or higher
$35,828 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official meteorological observations from the Hong Kong Observatory confirm that the maximum air temperature on May 15 reached exactly 27°C at the primary headquarters station, anchoring trader consensus at near-certainty for this outcome. This reading aligns with standard surface observations under prevailing subtropical conditions, including light southerly flow and sufficient cloud cover that limited daytime heating below seasonal norms for early May. Such data follow rigorous quality controls and represent the authoritative benchmark for market resolution. While revisions to official records are uncommon, scenarios that could still shift positioning include late corrections from auxiliary stations or refined urban-heat adjustments exceeding 1°C, though historical precedent shows these adjustments rarely alter the daily high enough to change the resolved category.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 13, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Volume
$290,861End Date
May 15, 2026Market Opened
May 13, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official meteorological observations from the Hong Kong Observatory confirm that the maximum air temperature on May 15 reached exactly 27°C at the primary headquarters station, anchoring trader consensus at near-certainty for this outcome. This reading aligns with standard surface observations under prevailing subtropical conditions, including light southerly flow and sufficient cloud cover that limited daytime heating below seasonal norms for early May. Such data follow rigorous quality controls and represent the authoritative benchmark for market resolution. While revisions to official records are uncommon, scenarios that could still shift positioning include late corrections from auxiliary stations or refined urban-heat adjustments exceeding 1°C, though historical precedent shows these adjustments rarely alter the daily high enough to change the resolved category.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$290,861End Date
May 15, 2026Market Opened
May 13, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official meteorological observations from the Hong Kong Observatory confirm that the maximum air temperature on May 15 reached exactly 27°C at the primary headquarters station, anchoring trader consensus at near-certainty for this outcome. This reading aligns with standard surface observations under prevailing subtropical conditions, including light southerly flow and sufficient cloud cover that limited daytime heating below seasonal norms for early May. Such data follow rigorous quality controls and represent the authoritative benchmark for market resolution. While revisions to official records are uncommon, scenarios that could still shift positioning include late corrections from auxiliary stations or refined urban-heat adjustments exceeding 1°C, though historical precedent shows these adjustments rarely alter the daily high enough to change the resolved category.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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