Official Hong Kong Observatory measurements recorded a daily maximum of exactly 27°C on May 15, 2026, driving near-certain trader consensus on that outcome. This reading aligns with the Observatory’s standard urban station protocol at Tsim Sha Tsui, which captures the highest temperature across the territory under prevailing spring transition conditions. Historical climatology shows mid-May maxima typically range 26–29°C as the southwest monsoon begins to influence the region, and no anomalous heat or cooling events disrupted the pattern this year. While official verification leaves little room for revision, rare post-publication corrections to raw data or station anomalies could theoretically shift resolution, though such adjustments occur infrequently and would require documented evidence from the agency.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Hong Kong on May 15?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on May 15?
27°C 99.9%
26°C <1%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
$292,441 Vol.
$292,441 Vol.
May 15, 2026
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
100%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
27°C 99.9%
26°C <1%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
$292,441 Vol.
$292,441 Vol.
May 15, 2026
19°C or below
$3,583 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$2,551 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$3,480 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$3,250 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$3,799 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$5,477 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$30,336 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$69,254 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$89,457 Vol.
100%
28°C
$45,405 Vol.
<1%
29°C or higher
$35,849 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official Hong Kong Observatory measurements recorded a daily maximum of exactly 27°C on May 15, 2026, driving near-certain trader consensus on that outcome. This reading aligns with the Observatory’s standard urban station protocol at Tsim Sha Tsui, which captures the highest temperature across the territory under prevailing spring transition conditions. Historical climatology shows mid-May maxima typically range 26–29°C as the southwest monsoon begins to influence the region, and no anomalous heat or cooling events disrupted the pattern this year. While official verification leaves little room for revision, rare post-publication corrections to raw data or station anomalies could theoretically shift resolution, though such adjustments occur infrequently and would require documented evidence from the agency.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 13, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Volume
$292,441End Date
May 15, 2026Market Opened
May 13, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official Hong Kong Observatory measurements recorded a daily maximum of exactly 27°C on May 15, 2026, driving near-certain trader consensus on that outcome. This reading aligns with the Observatory’s standard urban station protocol at Tsim Sha Tsui, which captures the highest temperature across the territory under prevailing spring transition conditions. Historical climatology shows mid-May maxima typically range 26–29°C as the southwest monsoon begins to influence the region, and no anomalous heat or cooling events disrupted the pattern this year. While official verification leaves little room for revision, rare post-publication corrections to raw data or station anomalies could theoretically shift resolution, though such adjustments occur infrequently and would require documented evidence from the agency.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$292,441End Date
May 15, 2026Market Opened
May 13, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official Hong Kong Observatory measurements recorded a daily maximum of exactly 27°C on May 15, 2026, driving near-certain trader consensus on that outcome. This reading aligns with the Observatory’s standard urban station protocol at Tsim Sha Tsui, which captures the highest temperature across the territory under prevailing spring transition conditions. Historical climatology shows mid-May maxima typically range 26–29°C as the southwest monsoon begins to influence the region, and no anomalous heat or cooling events disrupted the pattern this year. While official verification leaves little room for revision, rare post-publication corrections to raw data or station anomalies could theoretically shift resolution, though such adjustments occur infrequently and would require documented evidence from the agency.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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