Official temperature observations from Istanbul's primary meteorological stations recorded a daily maximum of exactly 26°C on August 16, driving the market's near-certain consensus on that outcome. Real-time data from the Turkish State Meteorological Service, aligned with regional synoptic patterns and urban heat island effects typical for mid-August, showed steady warming through midday before stabilization, with no exceedances of the 26°C threshold. Model consensus from global forecasting systems had projected similar conditions days earlier, and final verified readings eliminated remaining uncertainty. Only a rare post-processing revision or station-specific anomaly could shift resolution, though historical verification protocols make such adjustments highly improbable once the calendar day concludes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Istanbul on August 16?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on August 16?
26°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$35,267 Vol.
$35,267 Vol.
Aug 16, 2026
22°C or below
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
Yes
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C or higher
No
26°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$35,267 Vol.
$35,267 Vol.
Aug 16, 2026
22°C or below
$744 Vol.
No
23°C
$1,052 Vol.
No
24°C
$3,331 Vol.
No
25°C
$7,237 Vol.
No
26°C
$10,242 Vol.
Yes
27°C
$7,220 Vol.
No
28°C
$2,810 Vol.
No
29°C
$694 Vol.
No
30°C
$836 Vol.
No
31°C
$899 Vol.
No
32°C or higher
$202 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official temperature observations from Istanbul's primary meteorological stations recorded a daily maximum of exactly 26°C on August 16, driving the market's near-certain consensus on that outcome. Real-time data from the Turkish State Meteorological Service, aligned with regional synoptic patterns and urban heat island effects typical for mid-August, showed steady warming through midday before stabilization, with no exceedances of the 26°C threshold. Model consensus from global forecasting systems had projected similar conditions days earlier, and final verified readings eliminated remaining uncertainty. Only a rare post-processing revision or station-specific anomaly could shift resolution, though historical verification protocols make such adjustments highly improbable once the calendar day concludes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$35,267End Date
Aug 16, 2026Market Opened
Aug 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official temperature observations from Istanbul's primary meteorological stations recorded a daily maximum of exactly 26°C on August 16, driving the market's near-certain consensus on that outcome. Real-time data from the Turkish State Meteorological Service, aligned with regional synoptic patterns and urban heat island effects typical for mid-August, showed steady warming through midday before stabilization, with no exceedances of the 26°C threshold. Model consensus from global forecasting systems had projected similar conditions days earlier, and final verified readings eliminated remaining uncertainty. Only a rare post-processing revision or station-specific anomaly could shift resolution, though historical verification protocols make such adjustments highly improbable once the calendar day concludes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$35,267End Date
Aug 16, 2026Market Opened
Aug 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
Official temperature observations from Istanbul's primary meteorological stations recorded a daily maximum of exactly 26°C on August 16, driving the market's near-certain consensus on that outcome. Real-time data from the Turkish State Meteorological Service, aligned with regional synoptic patterns and urban heat island effects typical for mid-August, showed steady warming through midday before stabilization, with no exceedances of the 26°C threshold. Model consensus from global forecasting systems had projected similar conditions days earlier, and final verified readings eliminated remaining uncertainty. Only a rare post-processing revision or station-specific anomaly could shift resolution, though historical verification protocols make such adjustments highly improbable once the calendar day concludes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions