Market-implied odds center on 24–25°C as the most probable high for Mexico City on August 8, reflecting typical late-summer conditions at the city's 2,240-meter elevation where diurnal ranges and frequent cloud cover moderate extremes. The ongoing rainy season, with showers expected through the weekend, tends to suppress afternoon heating via increased humidity and reduced insolation, aligning with historical August averages near 24°C and recent model guidance showing similar maxima. Trader consensus accounts for forecast uncertainty in convective timing, as earlier or more widespread precipitation could favor 23°C while clearer intervals support 25°C; official updates from Mexican meteorological services will likely refine these probabilities before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Mexico City on August 8?
Highest temperature in Mexico City on August 8?
24°C 37%
25°C 29%
23°C 20%
26°C 12%
NEW
NEW
Aug 8, 2026
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
2%
22°C
3%
23°C
20%
24°C
37%
25°C
29%
26°C
12%
27°C
1%
28°C or higher
1%
24°C 37%
25°C 29%
23°C 20%
26°C 12%
NEW
NEW
Aug 8, 2026
18°C or below
$463 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$1,192 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$263 Vol.
1%
21°C
$179 Vol.
2%
22°C
$141 Vol.
3%
23°C
$358 Vol.
20%
24°C
$238 Vol.
37%
25°C
$170 Vol.
29%
26°C
$437 Vol.
12%
27°C
$90 Vol.
1%
28°C or higher
$68 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Market-implied odds center on 24–25°C as the most probable high for Mexico City on August 8, reflecting typical late-summer conditions at the city's 2,240-meter elevation where diurnal ranges and frequent cloud cover moderate extremes. The ongoing rainy season, with showers expected through the weekend, tends to suppress afternoon heating via increased humidity and reduced insolation, aligning with historical August averages near 24°C and recent model guidance showing similar maxima. Trader consensus accounts for forecast uncertainty in convective timing, as earlier or more widespread precipitation could favor 23°C while clearer intervals support 25°C; official updates from Mexican meteorological services will likely refine these probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 6, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Volume
$3,598End Date
Aug 8, 2026Market Opened
Aug 6, 2026, 9:03 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Market-implied odds center on 24–25°C as the most probable high for Mexico City on August 8, reflecting typical late-summer conditions at the city's 2,240-meter elevation where diurnal ranges and frequent cloud cover moderate extremes. The ongoing rainy season, with showers expected through the weekend, tends to suppress afternoon heating via increased humidity and reduced insolation, aligning with historical August averages near 24°C and recent model guidance showing similar maxima. Trader consensus accounts for forecast uncertainty in convective timing, as earlier or more widespread precipitation could favor 23°C while clearer intervals support 25°C; official updates from Mexican meteorological services will likely refine these probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,598End Date
Aug 8, 2026Market Opened
Aug 6, 2026, 9:03 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Market-implied odds center on 24–25°C as the most probable high for Mexico City on August 8, reflecting typical late-summer conditions at the city's 2,240-meter elevation where diurnal ranges and frequent cloud cover moderate extremes. The ongoing rainy season, with showers expected through the weekend, tends to suppress afternoon heating via increased humidity and reduced insolation, aligning with historical August averages near 24°C and recent model guidance showing similar maxima. Trader consensus accounts for forecast uncertainty in convective timing, as earlier or more widespread precipitation could favor 23°C while clearer intervals support 25°C; official updates from Mexican meteorological services will likely refine these probabilities before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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