Official forecasts from Mexico’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional indicate a maximum temperature of 24–26 °C for Mexico City on August 7 amid partly to mostly cloudy skies and afternoon chubascos, consistent with the ongoing rainy season that typically caps daytime heating through increased cloud cover and evaporative cooling. These conditions, combined with the city’s high elevation, align with historical August averages near 24 °C and explain why trader consensus clusters tightly around 23–25 °C. Model updates and precipitation timing remain the key variables that could shift the realized high within this narrow range before official observations finalize the outcome.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Mexico City on August 7?
Highest temperature in Mexico City on August 7?
24°C 34%
23°C 26%
25°C 18%
22°C 11%
NEW
NEW
Aug 7, 2026
17°C or below
1%
18°C
1%
19°C
1%
20°C
2%
21°C
2%
22°C
11%
23°C
26%
24°C
34%
25°C
18%
26°C
7%
27°C or higher
1%
24°C 34%
23°C 26%
25°C 18%
22°C 11%
NEW
NEW
Aug 7, 2026
17°C or below
$481 Vol.
1%
18°C
$174 Vol.
1%
19°C
$15 Vol.
1%
20°C
$52 Vol.
2%
21°C
$115 Vol.
2%
22°C
$308 Vol.
11%
23°C
$98 Vol.
26%
24°C
$113 Vol.
34%
25°C
$363 Vol.
18%
26°C
$442 Vol.
7%
27°C or higher
$131 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from Mexico’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional indicate a maximum temperature of 24–26 °C for Mexico City on August 7 amid partly to mostly cloudy skies and afternoon chubascos, consistent with the ongoing rainy season that typically caps daytime heating through increased cloud cover and evaporative cooling. These conditions, combined with the city’s high elevation, align with historical August averages near 24 °C and explain why trader consensus clusters tightly around 23–25 °C. Model updates and precipitation timing remain the key variables that could shift the realized high within this narrow range before official observations finalize the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 5, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Volume
$2,288End Date
Aug 7, 2026Market Opened
Aug 5, 2026, 9:03 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from Mexico’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional indicate a maximum temperature of 24–26 °C for Mexico City on August 7 amid partly to mostly cloudy skies and afternoon chubascos, consistent with the ongoing rainy season that typically caps daytime heating through increased cloud cover and evaporative cooling. These conditions, combined with the city’s high elevation, align with historical August averages near 24 °C and explain why trader consensus clusters tightly around 23–25 °C. Model updates and precipitation timing remain the key variables that could shift the realized high within this narrow range before official observations finalize the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,288End Date
Aug 7, 2026Market Opened
Aug 5, 2026, 9:03 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from Mexico’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional indicate a maximum temperature of 24–26 °C for Mexico City on August 7 amid partly to mostly cloudy skies and afternoon chubascos, consistent with the ongoing rainy season that typically caps daytime heating through increased cloud cover and evaporative cooling. These conditions, combined with the city’s high elevation, align with historical August averages near 24 °C and explain why trader consensus clusters tightly around 23–25 °C. Model updates and precipitation timing remain the key variables that could shift the realized high within this narrow range before official observations finalize the outcome.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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