Recent forecasts from sources like AccuWeather and timeanddate indicate Mexico City highs near 25–27°C on August 5, 2026, aligning with the market's emphasis on 26°C (48.5%) and 27°C (37.0%). The city's high elevation and rainy-season cloud cover typically cap daily maxima around the long-term August average of 23–24°C, but current model runs suggest slightly warmer conditions without extreme heat. Light showers and variable steering patterns are expected to moderate peaks, reducing odds for 28°C or higher while supporting the narrow 25–27°C range as the most probable outcome based on official meteorological guidance.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Mexico City on August 5?
Highest temperature in Mexico City on August 5?
26°C 49%
27°C 38%
28°C 9%
25°C 7%
NEW
NEW
Aug 5, 2026
23°C or below
1%
24°C
2%
25°C
7%
26°C
49%
27°C
38%
28°C
9%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
26°C 49%
27°C 38%
28°C 9%
25°C 7%
NEW
NEW
Aug 5, 2026
23°C or below
$169 Vol.
1%
24°C
$766 Vol.
2%
25°C
$608 Vol.
7%
26°C
$1,425 Vol.
49%
27°C
$565 Vol.
38%
28°C
$378 Vol.
9%
29°C
$261 Vol.
1%
30°C
$465 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$416 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$587 Vol.
<1%
33°C or higher
$597 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources like AccuWeather and timeanddate indicate Mexico City highs near 25–27°C on August 5, 2026, aligning with the market's emphasis on 26°C (48.5%) and 27°C (37.0%). The city's high elevation and rainy-season cloud cover typically cap daily maxima around the long-term August average of 23–24°C, but current model runs suggest slightly warmer conditions without extreme heat. Light showers and variable steering patterns are expected to moderate peaks, reducing odds for 28°C or higher while supporting the narrow 25–27°C range as the most probable outcome based on official meteorological guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 3, 2026, 9:04 PM ET
Volume
$6,156End Date
Aug 5, 2026Market Opened
Aug 3, 2026, 9:04 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources like AccuWeather and timeanddate indicate Mexico City highs near 25–27°C on August 5, 2026, aligning with the market's emphasis on 26°C (48.5%) and 27°C (37.0%). The city's high elevation and rainy-season cloud cover typically cap daily maxima around the long-term August average of 23–24°C, but current model runs suggest slightly warmer conditions without extreme heat. Light showers and variable steering patterns are expected to moderate peaks, reducing odds for 28°C or higher while supporting the narrow 25–27°C range as the most probable outcome based on official meteorological guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$6,156End Date
Aug 5, 2026Market Opened
Aug 3, 2026, 9:04 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from sources like AccuWeather and timeanddate indicate Mexico City highs near 25–27°C on August 5, 2026, aligning with the market's emphasis on 26°C (48.5%) and 27°C (37.0%). The city's high elevation and rainy-season cloud cover typically cap daily maxima around the long-term August average of 23–24°C, but current model runs suggest slightly warmer conditions without extreme heat. Light showers and variable steering patterns are expected to moderate peaks, reducing odds for 28°C or higher while supporting the narrow 25–27°C range as the most probable outcome based on official meteorological guidance.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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