Latest forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center, aligned with ECMWF and GFS ensemble guidance, establish 18°C as the expected daily maximum for Moscow on August 12 under mostly cloudy skies and light winds following advection of cooler air. This consensus arises from short-range model runs showing limited diurnal heating due to persistent cloud cover and stable boundary-layer conditions, consistent with observed trends on similar late-summer days. Official station measurements will determine the precise peak, with resolution thresholds tied to standard meteorological criteria. Scenarios that could shift the outcome remain narrow, such as unexpected breaks in cloud allowing greater solar insolation or localized convective timing that alters the observed high by 1°C.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Moscow on August 12?
Highest temperature in Moscow on August 12?
18°C 100.0%
12°C or below <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$66,364 Vol.
$66,364 Vol.
Aug 12, 2026
12°C or below
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
Yes
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C or higher
No
18°C 100.0%
12°C or below <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$66,364 Vol.
$66,364 Vol.
Aug 12, 2026
12°C or below
$2,082 Vol.
No
13°C
$867 Vol.
No
14°C
$3,353 Vol.
No
15°C
$2,986 Vol.
No
16°C
$15,813 Vol.
No
17°C
$14,251 Vol.
No
18°C
$5,966 Vol.
Yes
19°C
$5,600 Vol.
No
20°C
$3,995 Vol.
No
21°C
$3,357 Vol.
No
22°C or higher
$8,096 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center, aligned with ECMWF and GFS ensemble guidance, establish 18°C as the expected daily maximum for Moscow on August 12 under mostly cloudy skies and light winds following advection of cooler air. This consensus arises from short-range model runs showing limited diurnal heating due to persistent cloud cover and stable boundary-layer conditions, consistent with observed trends on similar late-summer days. Official station measurements will determine the precise peak, with resolution thresholds tied to standard meteorological criteria. Scenarios that could shift the outcome remain narrow, such as unexpected breaks in cloud allowing greater solar insolation or localized convective timing that alters the observed high by 1°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 10, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Volume
$66,364End Date
Aug 12, 2026Market Opened
Aug 10, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center, aligned with ECMWF and GFS ensemble guidance, establish 18°C as the expected daily maximum for Moscow on August 12 under mostly cloudy skies and light winds following advection of cooler air. This consensus arises from short-range model runs showing limited diurnal heating due to persistent cloud cover and stable boundary-layer conditions, consistent with observed trends on similar late-summer days. Official station measurements will determine the precise peak, with resolution thresholds tied to standard meteorological criteria. Scenarios that could shift the outcome remain narrow, such as unexpected breaks in cloud allowing greater solar insolation or localized convective timing that alters the observed high by 1°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$66,364End Date
Aug 12, 2026Market Opened
Aug 10, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Latest forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center, aligned with ECMWF and GFS ensemble guidance, establish 18°C as the expected daily maximum for Moscow on August 12 under mostly cloudy skies and light winds following advection of cooler air. This consensus arises from short-range model runs showing limited diurnal heating due to persistent cloud cover and stable boundary-layer conditions, consistent with observed trends on similar late-summer days. Official station measurements will determine the precise peak, with resolution thresholds tied to standard meteorological criteria. Scenarios that could shift the outcome remain narrow, such as unexpected breaks in cloud allowing greater solar insolation or localized convective timing that alters the observed high by 1°C.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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