Official meteorological observations from Panama City stations confirm a daily maximum of 33°C on August 12, 2026, aligning with wet-season norms near the ITCZ where high humidity and afternoon convection typically moderate peaks around the 30–32°C climatological average. Recent forecast guidance from regional models consistently projected 32–34°C under mostly clear to partly cloudy conditions with limited storm suppression, supporting the market's near-certain resolution at 33°C once verified data became available. This outcome reflects aggregated trader assessment of insolation, boundary-layer moisture, and steering patterns rather than any single outlier event. Measurement revisions from alternate stations or post-processing adjustments remain the primary realistic scenarios that could alter the recorded high.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Panama City on August 12?
Highest temperature in Panama City on August 12?
33°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$23,255 Vol.
$23,255 Vol.
Aug 12, 2026
26°C or below
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
Yes
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C or higher
No
33°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$23,255 Vol.
$23,255 Vol.
Aug 12, 2026
26°C or below
$1,445 Vol.
No
27°C
$443 Vol.
No
28°C
$525 Vol.
No
29°C
$1,553 Vol.
No
30°C
$1,405 Vol.
No
31°C
$1,957 Vol.
No
32°C
$4,589 Vol.
No
33°C
$4,831 Vol.
Yes
34°C
$4,080 Vol.
No
35°C
$1,104 Vol.
No
36°C or higher
$1,323 Vol.
No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official meteorological observations from Panama City stations confirm a daily maximum of 33°C on August 12, 2026, aligning with wet-season norms near the ITCZ where high humidity and afternoon convection typically moderate peaks around the 30–32°C climatological average. Recent forecast guidance from regional models consistently projected 32–34°C under mostly clear to partly cloudy conditions with limited storm suppression, supporting the market's near-certain resolution at 33°C once verified data became available. This outcome reflects aggregated trader assessment of insolation, boundary-layer moisture, and steering patterns rather than any single outlier event. Measurement revisions from alternate stations or post-processing adjustments remain the primary realistic scenarios that could alter the recorded high.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 10, 2026, 9:04 PM ET
Volume
$23,255End Date
Aug 12, 2026Market Opened
Aug 10, 2026, 9:04 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official meteorological observations from Panama City stations confirm a daily maximum of 33°C on August 12, 2026, aligning with wet-season norms near the ITCZ where high humidity and afternoon convection typically moderate peaks around the 30–32°C climatological average. Recent forecast guidance from regional models consistently projected 32–34°C under mostly clear to partly cloudy conditions with limited storm suppression, supporting the market's near-certain resolution at 33°C once verified data became available. This outcome reflects aggregated trader assessment of insolation, boundary-layer moisture, and steering patterns rather than any single outlier event. Measurement revisions from alternate stations or post-processing adjustments remain the primary realistic scenarios that could alter the recorded high.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$23,255End Date
Aug 12, 2026Market Opened
Aug 10, 2026, 9:04 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
Official meteorological observations from Panama City stations confirm a daily maximum of 33°C on August 12, 2026, aligning with wet-season norms near the ITCZ where high humidity and afternoon convection typically moderate peaks around the 30–32°C climatological average. Recent forecast guidance from regional models consistently projected 32–34°C under mostly clear to partly cloudy conditions with limited storm suppression, supporting the market's near-certain resolution at 33°C once verified data became available. This outcome reflects aggregated trader assessment of insolation, boundary-layer moisture, and steering patterns rather than any single outlier event. Measurement revisions from alternate stations or post-processing adjustments remain the primary realistic scenarios that could alter the recorded high.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions