**Trader sentiment for Panama City’s highest temperature on August 16 centers on 30°C and 31°C as near-even frontrunners because long-term climatology and current seasonal conditions point to a narrow range around the August mean.** Panama City lies in a tropical monsoon climate where daytime highs in mid-August typically average 29–30°C under the influence of the Intertropical Convergence Zone. Abundant moisture fuels afternoon convection, producing scattered thunderstorms that limit peak solar insolation and often cap temperatures near or slightly above the mean. Key differentiating factors include cloud-cover timing and intensity, boundary-layer humidity, and steering winds. Thicker or earlier cloud decks reduce surface heating and favor the lower outcome near 30°C, while clearer morning skies or delayed convection allow modest additional warming toward 31°C. Sea-breeze convergence and any weak tropical wave activity can further modulate these thresholds. Official forecasts and model consensus remain closely balanced, with minimal recent shifts in large-scale drivers such as ENSO or the Madden-Julian Oscillation reinforcing the tight probability split between the two leading bins.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Panama City on August 16?
Highest temperature in Panama City on August 16?
30°C 44%
31°C 35%
29°C 12%
32°C 9%
NEW
NEW
Aug 16, 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
2%
29°C
12%
30°C
44%
31°C
35%
32°C
9%
33°C
3%
34°C or higher
1%
30°C 44%
31°C 35%
29°C 12%
32°C 9%
NEW
NEW
Aug 16, 2026
24°C or below
$278 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$278 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$278 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$778 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$152 Vol.
2%
29°C
$387 Vol.
12%
30°C
$531 Vol.
44%
31°C
$781 Vol.
35%
32°C
$484 Vol.
9%
33°C
$165 Vol.
3%
34°C or higher
$75 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Panama City’s highest temperature on August 16 centers on 30°C and 31°C as near-even frontrunners because long-term climatology and current seasonal conditions point to a narrow range around the August mean.** Panama City lies in a tropical monsoon climate where daytime highs in mid-August typically average 29–30°C under the influence of the Intertropical Convergence Zone. Abundant moisture fuels afternoon convection, producing scattered thunderstorms that limit peak solar insolation and often cap temperatures near or slightly above the mean.
Key differentiating factors include cloud-cover timing and intensity, boundary-layer humidity, and steering winds. Thicker or earlier cloud decks reduce surface heating and favor the lower outcome near 30°C, while clearer morning skies or delayed convection allow modest additional warming toward 31°C. Sea-breeze convergence and any weak tropical wave activity can further modulate these thresholds. Official forecasts and model consensus remain closely balanced, with minimal recent shifts in large-scale drivers such as ENSO or the Madden-Julian Oscillation reinforcing the tight probability split between the two leading bins.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 15, 2026, 4:03 PM ET
Volume
$4,128End Date
Aug 16, 2026Market Opened
Aug 15, 2026, 4:03 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Panama City’s highest temperature on August 16 centers on 30°C and 31°C as near-even frontrunners because long-term climatology and current seasonal conditions point to a narrow range around the August mean.** Panama City lies in a tropical monsoon climate where daytime highs in mid-August typically average 29–30°C under the influence of the Intertropical Convergence Zone. Abundant moisture fuels afternoon convection, producing scattered thunderstorms that limit peak solar insolation and often cap temperatures near or slightly above the mean.
Key differentiating factors include cloud-cover timing and intensity, boundary-layer humidity, and steering winds. Thicker or earlier cloud decks reduce surface heating and favor the lower outcome near 30°C, while clearer morning skies or delayed convection allow modest additional warming toward 31°C. Sea-breeze convergence and any weak tropical wave activity can further modulate these thresholds. Official forecasts and model consensus remain closely balanced, with minimal recent shifts in large-scale drivers such as ENSO or the Madden-Julian Oscillation reinforcing the tight probability split between the two leading bins.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$4,128End Date
Aug 16, 2026Market Opened
Aug 15, 2026, 4:03 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment for Panama City’s highest temperature on August 16 centers on 30°C and 31°C as near-even frontrunners because long-term climatology and current seasonal conditions point to a narrow range around the August mean.** Panama City lies in a tropical monsoon climate where daytime highs in mid-August typically average 29–30°C under the influence of the Intertropical Convergence Zone. Abundant moisture fuels afternoon convection, producing scattered thunderstorms that limit peak solar insolation and often cap temperatures near or slightly above the mean. Key differentiating factors include cloud-cover timing and intensity, boundary-layer humidity, and steering winds. Thicker or earlier cloud decks reduce surface heating and favor the lower outcome near 30°C, while clearer morning skies or delayed convection allow modest additional warming toward 31°C. Sea-breeze convergence and any weak tropical wave activity can further modulate these thresholds. Official forecasts and model consensus remain closely balanced, with minimal recent shifts in large-scale drivers such as ENSO or the Madden-Julian Oscillation reinforcing the tight probability split between the two leading bins.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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